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Keepers

Posted: February 15th, 2024, 9:26 pm
by CubFan
12 team AL only 5x5 H2H keeper league using OBP, W+QS and S+1/2H. Only 1 catcher. Can keep 5-8 players. $260 draft day team salary. Typically 30-35% inflation first half of draft.

My current keepers:
OF-Ward $7
OF-Jarren Duran $11
3B-Royce Lewis $2
SS-Story $13
1B-Torkelson $6
CL-Fairbanks $6
CL-Johan Duran $16

Who do you prefer from the following as your 8th keeper:
Garver $4 (qualifies at C and slated to mainly DH and hit in the middle of the order
Hunter Brown $6 (faded badly second half as he seemed to tire plus he changed his mechanics several times during the season)
Gausman $32 (Figuring he'll go for upper 20s-low 30s. Appears his relatively high BABIP is here to stay as his FB while his KO pitch is also squared up often)
Joe Ryan $22 (homer prone leading to elevated ERA)

Re: Keepers

Posted: February 15th, 2024, 10:05 pm
by Todd Zola
I'd probably keep both Gausman and Garver instead of Ward or Story, while trying to consolidate by pairing someone with one of the closers.

Re: Keepers

Posted: February 15th, 2024, 10:13 pm
by CubFan
Interesting. Thanks for your time Todd.

Re: Keepers

Posted: February 26th, 2024, 3:16 pm
by CubFan
Been offered Witt $39 for my Tork $6. Thew other owner has a bunch of $$ tied up on in elite offensive players so he's looking to lower his team salary. $39 for Witt is not a great bargain at that price and Tork, if he can replicate 2023, would be a very good bargain. Next year both players' salaries will increase by $10 so Witt is a win now type of play.

My keepers would then be:

OF-Ward $7
OF-Jarren Duran $11
3B-Royce Lewis $2
SS-Story $13
MI-Witt $39
C-Garver $4
CL-Fairbanks $6
CL-Johan Duran $16

Before this offer I went thru and estimated the other 11 owner's keepers. Found that 6 will have over 200 units to bid during the auction. Went thru the last 6 years of the league and there has never been more than 4 teams with 200+ units to spend in the auction. This told me inflation will likely be higher than ever before.....and we've been running 35% in the first half of the draft. If I were to do this trade I'd drop from 195 units to 162 and have the second least amount to spend. In essence I'd likely be sitting out a big part of the draft in the beginning and/or pay up for any elite SPs. I know you mentioned keeping Gausman at $32 in leu of Ward or Story.

Pass on this offer?

Do you think a counter of both Durans is fair?

Re: Keepers

Posted: February 26th, 2024, 5:02 pm
by Todd Zola
I can't say yay, nor do I know what's fair. I can say I don't mind keeping salary.