Speed v. Power in early NFBC rounds
-
shif6
- Major League Veteran
- Posts: 203
- Joined: January 2nd, 2009, 10:37 am
- Preferred Style: 5x5 keeper, auction
- Location: Ithaca, NY
Speed v. Power in early NFBC rounds
I have the impression that speed can easily be found in late rounds of NFBC (not to mention FAAB), but that seems less true with power. Accordingly, I lean against drafting speed at the expense of power in early NFBC rounds. Do others think it is easier to chase speed than power or am I mistaken?
Re: Speed v. Power in early NFBC rounds
Much easier to chase speed, but you can also get ample speed getting a few SB here, a few there. Then maybe grab a specialist to float in if there is some points to be had.
Catchers are like prostate exams -- comes a time where you can't put if off any longer, so you may as well get it over with and take it up the butt - The Forum Funklord
I'd rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong reasons - The Forum Funklord
Always remember, never forget, never say always or never. - The Forum Funklord
You know you have to seek therapy when you see one of your pitchers had a bad night and it takes you 15 minutes to find the team you have him on. - The Forum Funklord
I'd rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong reasons - The Forum Funklord
Always remember, never forget, never say always or never. - The Forum Funklord
You know you have to seek therapy when you see one of your pitchers had a bad night and it takes you 15 minutes to find the team you have him on. - The Forum Funklord
-
viper
- Hall of Famer
- Posts: 1475
- Joined: December 31st, 2008, 11:32 pm
- Preferred Style: Currently in an AL-only league with the Bill James Technical RCA as the single hitting category and ERA as the single pitching category.
- Contact:
Re: Speed v. Power in early NFBC rounds
an example: looking at my projections in the 12 team league we are currently mock drafting, there will be 168 position players drafted.
The average HR totals for the 168 positive valued players is 20.
The SB average for those same players is 11.75.
For the zero or negative valued players, there are 6 players with 20 or 21 HRs.
there are 13 players with 20+ SBs and an additional 15 between 15-19 SBs.
Some of these guys will be drafted for sure but you can see that above average power is gone but a whole lot of above average speed is there for the taking.
In the NFBC, there are 210 position players drafted plus there is a bench. Power is history but speed exists.
The average HR totals for the 168 positive valued players is 20.
The SB average for those same players is 11.75.
For the zero or negative valued players, there are 6 players with 20 or 21 HRs.
there are 13 players with 20+ SBs and an additional 15 between 15-19 SBs.
Some of these guys will be drafted for sure but you can see that above average power is gone but a whole lot of above average speed is there for the taking.
In the NFBC, there are 210 position players drafted plus there is a bench. Power is history but speed exists.
The avalanche has started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote. -- Ambassador Kosh
Mike Ladd
Buffy, the Umpire Slayer
Mike Ladd
Buffy, the Umpire Slayer
-
deansdaddy
Re: Speed v. Power in early NFBC rounds
In a 15 team NFBC league - speed goes at a premium. That is why you will see all the 5 category guys go early as owners try to roster speed while still adding power to their lineups.
The great Shawn Chillds breaks down the category targets for the NFBC overall every year. He looks at the standings and figures out what you needed to finish in the Top 20% of every category.
Last year the number for steals was 170. To finish in the Top 10% was 180.
It is my opinion that you want to get your steals at the draft table, because game changing speed doesn't come into the league as easily as power. This means that when it does it is usually such a highly sought commodity that it leads to high FAAB bids to secure it. Even if you win those bids, you often pay a premium for a one dimensional player who may or may not deliver. Just ask anyone who plunked down a big chunk of FAAB on Eric Young Jr. last year.
Home Runs/Power actually declined overall last year - so you have to be aware of this as well. You can no longer hope to get half your homers from three or 4 players. The 3-4 players that might have gotten you 150-175 hr's a couple of years ago is likely to deliver 30-40 less HR's today. So you've got to find those HR's elsewhere which makes it even that much harder to roster "Judy's".
There is no easy answer here - but the best advice I can give you is to get as many multi-category guys as you can early in your draft so you want have to reach or settle for one trick ponies later on. I am sure Todd and others can pick this up and add even more to it.
The great Shawn Chillds breaks down the category targets for the NFBC overall every year. He looks at the standings and figures out what you needed to finish in the Top 20% of every category.
Last year the number for steals was 170. To finish in the Top 10% was 180.
It is my opinion that you want to get your steals at the draft table, because game changing speed doesn't come into the league as easily as power. This means that when it does it is usually such a highly sought commodity that it leads to high FAAB bids to secure it. Even if you win those bids, you often pay a premium for a one dimensional player who may or may not deliver. Just ask anyone who plunked down a big chunk of FAAB on Eric Young Jr. last year.
Home Runs/Power actually declined overall last year - so you have to be aware of this as well. You can no longer hope to get half your homers from three or 4 players. The 3-4 players that might have gotten you 150-175 hr's a couple of years ago is likely to deliver 30-40 less HR's today. So you've got to find those HR's elsewhere which makes it even that much harder to roster "Judy's".
There is no easy answer here - but the best advice I can give you is to get as many multi-category guys as you can early in your draft so you want have to reach or settle for one trick ponies later on. I am sure Todd and others can pick this up and add even more to it.
-
rotonut
Re: Speed v. Power in early NFBC rounds
In leagues that allow trading, I tend to always favor power over speed, as it is much easier to trade power for speed (and/or pitching) at any point in the season. However, in an NFBC league, you absolutely cannot afford to ignore speed at the draft table. That said, draft enough speed to be competitive, but focusing on the power is never a bad idea.