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Lawr's Top 250

Posted: February 12th, 2010, 8:23 am
by da_big_kid_94
Like what I see so far - three quick questions though:
  • Lower the value, better the prospect?
  • The levels correspond to minor league levels (e.g., 1=AAA, 2=AA, 3=A and lower)?
  • No Chris Carter? (The Oakland one)

Re: Lawr's Top 250

Posted: February 12th, 2010, 10:11 am
by lawr
first thx.

and, exaclty. when i first started theorizing this, i realized success at a young age was a key indicator. so, instead of weighing the ultimate factor on a high number, i use the age as a base, and geared the remaining formulas down (eg, the lower the skill set rating, the better) and did the same for level of play (so, someone who played the whole season in A would get a 3, while someone who played the whole season at AAA would get a 1).

dunno why chris carter missed. age is critical. but, if you look closely, the difference even between #1 and #250 is not that much. buster posey missed too. and, i used to search out such players and give cred for say playing in the majors. but, no more as the numbers usually proved to be a clear barometer.

Re: Lawr's Top 250

Posted: February 12th, 2010, 10:32 am
by da_big_kid_94
lawr wrote:first thx.

and, exaclty. when i first started theorizing this, i realized success at a young age was a key indicator. so, instead of weighing the ultimate factor on a high number, i use the age as a base, and geared the remaining formulas down (eg, the lower the skill set rating, the better) and did the same for level of play (so, someone who played the whole season in A would get a 3, while someone who played the whole season at AAA would get a 1).

dunno why chris carter missed. age is critical. but, if you look closely, the difference even between #1 and #250 is not that much. buster posey missed too. and, i used to search out such players and give cred for say playing in the majors. but, no more as the numbers usually proved to be a clear barometer.
I can't fault you on your own methodology - but how a 23 year old like Chris Carter and his numbers miss out entirely and older guys like Coughlin, Strieby, Huffman and Roy make it surprises me.

Re: Lawr's Top 250

Posted: February 12th, 2010, 12:43 pm
by JP Kastner
The system uses a set of filters. Unfortunately for Posey, one of the filters is Low-A ball. His performance before he went to Triple-A is not included. I don't have an answer for Chris Carter.


JP