batting average

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jmappraiz
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Joined: November 1st, 2018, 12:26 pm

batting average

#1 Post by jmappraiz »

Todd
excellent projections
Have determined that batting average is a premium. what do you think of a strategy of high batting average / rbi early. provides a cushion, if needed, to fill out categories later in draft when the available list is flooded with .230 and .240 players.

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Todd Zola
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Re: batting average

#2 Post by Todd Zola »

jmappraiz wrote: December 5th, 2018, 12:40 am Todd
excellent projections
Have determined that batting average is a premium. what do you think of a strategy of high batting average / rbi early. provides a cushion, if needed, to fill out categories later in draft when the available list is flooded with .230 and .240 players.
This is a common ploy. Like any strategy, it's not why you pick but who you pick. Anything can work with the right players.

I understand the idea, it makes sense, but my preference is to just pound away at counting stats and let average take care of itself. There's two reasons:

1. There's more variance in BAvg than any other hitting category. I'd rather pay for counting stats
2. This is hard to describe, I've written about it and will continue to do so, but if you normalize all the categories, the top to bottom distribution in BAvg is more tightly bunched than all the other categories. Thus, a little luck and you can get a bunch of points. Of course, the opposite is true, but if you're doing well enough in the other categories to be competing, you probably don't have too many unlucky batters.

but...

Your team, your call.
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