Trade offer: Abreu for Swisher

[special k]

I have Swisher in my 10-team AL-only, standard 5X5. I am in a dogfight for first place overall, also for homers and RBIs. But I could use Abreu's steals big time. Is it reasonable to expect Abreu to approximate Swisher's power production the rest of the way? I expect BA to even out, given out each of their returns to historic norms, and runs are not an issue; team making offer cannot catch me, wants to hang onto fourth. Swisher is a better keeper, but who cares right now.
Thoughts?

[Todd Zola]

Expect to approximate? That leaves some gray area as with 8 or 9 weeks left, you can have different ideas of approximate.

And I am also not sure the BA even out.

BUT...

If you can't just deal for steals without losing power, Abreu is about as good a target as you could get.

[special k]

Why are you unsure about BA? Swisher way above career norms, Abreu below. Should even out.
As for "expect to approximate," I dunno, WAG?
I guess the larger question is expectations for each moving ahead ...

[Todd Zola]

Swisher is fanning a little less. His BABIP is high, but is supported by a high LD%. It has been shown that hitters can sustain a high LD% for an entire season. Plus HR are hits too and his power is up. I don't expect a HUGE drop from where he is now. Will he continue to hit .300? Probably not. But I think he will be above the midway point between where he is and where Abreu is.

Abreu is fanning a little more with a lower BABIP. His LD% is low so it is more than "bad luck". He'll probably hit better than .255, but I think he will fall short of where Swisher hits the rest of the season.

As for expectation, it is hard enough to predict 6 months anything can happen in two months. I prefer to deal in generalities.

"I need to maintain most of Swisher's power, come close in batting average but get more steals."

That sounds like a perfect description of Abreu to me.