NFBC FAAB Advice

Theories, Concepts and Analytical Discussion (draft strategies, valuation, inflation, scarcity, etc.)
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viper
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Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#41 Post by viper »

In my one AL only league that did FAAB last night with a $200 budget and $0 bids allowed, Britton went for $108 with a $101 bid missing out. Two owners choose not to bid. I understand that because why bid at all if your bid was going to be very low. My $1 bid failed.
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southpaw

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#42 Post by southpaw »

My Esmil Rogers bid of $29 failed as he went for $36 in my WCOFB league.

RobDMay

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#43 Post by RobDMay »

Britton went for 485 with a runner bid of 371 in my NCBC sat league. Desmond Jennings went for 301 with the next bid being 44 OUCH.

I took a flyer on Santos for 7

deansdaddy

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#44 Post by deansdaddy »

I was the $44 bid - and I dropped there from $77 earlier in the day. Still I wasn't even in the same ballpark. We have had some free spenders early in this league that is for sure.

I underbid on all my targets ( Britton, Harrison, C Getz) but one - where I got C Snyder for $19 un-contested.

I did get Harrison for $77 in my DP league and was pretty happy about that. I got outbid on Jordan Walden there - but I bid less here than in the other leagues (where I won him) since I have Bell and Street. Would like to add a third closer - but would rather get one cheaper here.

RobDMay

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#45 Post by RobDMay »

Looking like Santos for $7 could be a steal for me.

Captain Hook

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#46 Post by Captain Hook »

RobDMay wrote:Looking like Santos for $7 could be a steal for me.
Why? He will have to get some opportunities first and let's remember it IS Ozzie Guillen we are talking about
(btw I agree that Santos may have value IF he gets a shot and can perform very well right away....but that is certainly not a given)

RobDMay

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#47 Post by RobDMay »

Captain Hook wrote:
RobDMay wrote:Looking like Santos for $7 could be a steal for me.
Why? He will have to get some opportunities first and let's remember it IS Ozzie Guillen we are talking about
(btw I agree that Santos may have value IF he gets a shot and can perform very well right away....but that is certainly not a given)

Your absolutely right but I would rather gamble $7 a week early then have to pay threw the nose if he happens to get a save chance or two this week. At this point I don't event think Ozzie knows who is getting the next save chance. Maybe the flop comes and I hit the flush maybe I miss for $7 I willing to take a look in NFBC.

southpaw

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#48 Post by southpaw »

Well, went all in on Hosmer in my WCOFB league last night.
My winning bid of $482 was $60 over the runner up bid of $422. I was leery to go that high but I really needed some stability at my CI spot and with guys like Reynolds, Desmond, Espinosa, and Posada draining my BA, I needed help in that area. I'm sitting second in the league, just a couple points behind the Desperados.
I also put a substantial bid on Melancon but was way off. I thought my $190 would be in contention and would have loved to acquire a 3rd closer behind Axford and Storen/Burnett. I also have Venters for a some vulture saves. But he went for $400+ with some runner up bids in the 200/300 range so my bid was on the lower end.
So I was real aggressive this week and got my main target. I'll hopefully be able to target some saves later on but with Melancon going so high, I think this will only inflate bids on speculative closers and step in closers in the future.

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Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#49 Post by Todd Zola »

southpaw wrote: I think this will only inflate bids on speculative closers and step in closers in the future.
This gets filed under "easier said than done", but the idea here is, assuming you have a reserve spot to sacrifice, to speculate on someone that costs the minimum bid that is not at the forefront of speculative closers. Someone like Jake McGee may be available or Scott Downs. You can even rotate guys into this spot so long as you only spend a buck or two per pickup.

It is hard to answer the question "who do you suggest I acquire", because if there was an answer, they would likely be owned.

It is not a part of the hobby I like, pure speculation, but that is where the game has evolved.
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RobDMay

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#50 Post by RobDMay »

Hosmer went for 500 in my NFBC Sat league, Melacon for 228, Padilla for 89.

Captain Hook

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#51 Post by Captain Hook »

Hosmer winning bids (with highest underbid) in three WCOFB leagues

337 (243)

580 (355)

388 (I was one of Four teams who bid 333)

bids for Melancon if unowned was all over - there was a $300+ bid by one of the best players who is short on saves

RobDMay

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#52 Post by RobDMay »

Ryan that Nathan bid had to hurt.

deansdaddy

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#53 Post by deansdaddy »

Yeah - it's never fun to overbid on a guy by over $200 :oops: And whats worse is I upped the bid twice during the day :D

But - he went for big bucks in a bunch of other leagues and I decided I wanted him. I have missed out on a a lot of guys in this league by underbidding - and sometimes this will be the result. I came into the week with over $800 - so I'm fine with it. I don't really worry about spending big on a player I want and I think Nathan will pay dividends on that investment.

What I am not so okay with is how your are running away with this league - 140 points!!! That's just crazy good.

I will keep battling and hopefully I can stay in your rear view with Rob Giese. Funny - the three guys from this league who checked in here on the boards regarding this league are running 1-2-3 right now. Keep up the good work - and don't get too comfortable :lol:

RobDMay

Re: NFBC FAAB Advice

#54 Post by RobDMay »

Yea its the most uncomfortable lead I have ever had, I just keep waiting for it to come crashing down. My SP still scares me there is no way my staff can maintain that ERA and WHIP all season. I still feel strongly about my offense and Hanely hasn't really done too much for me yet.

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