Joc Pederson

General player discussion. It is encouraged but not necessary to note the name of player and the date of the news in the subject.

Moderator: Mastersball Staff

Post Reply
Message
Author
MJBird33
Rookie
Posts: 1
Joined: May 12th, 2016, 3:28 pm

Joc Pederson

#1 Post by MJBird33 » May 12th, 2016, 12:19 pm

Thoughts on Joc Pederson's development for the rest of this year, but also for the next few years. He has some numbers that make me believe he is improving and could be a great player to hold onto in a keeper league, but at the same time he has some numbers that make me want to turn and run.

2016#'s as of 05/12
Bad
Strikeout %=34% Up front last year and near Justin Upton's lead league
BB% = 13.6% down from last year and close to his AA walk rate
.362 BABIP with a .264 average showing possible regression abck to the .220 average from the season prior
26.1% HR/FB rate which seems hard to sustain

Good
LD% up from 15% to 19%
FB% up from 42% to 45%
GB% down from 42% to 35%
IFFB % down nearly half from 15% to 8.7%
Hard Ball% same as prior season
SoftBall% down 5% from last year with an increase in medium speed
And lastly, He is pulling the ball 8% less, and although he's not hitting the ball the opposite way as much, he is hitting more towards center field and hitting those power alleys. This is very helpful for his average and future success in beating the shift.

I'm just not sure what to make of Joc Pederson. Is he a future multi appearance all star? Or is he Chris Carter who plays a great center field? Appreciate any input.

User avatar
Todd Zola
Hall of Famer
Posts: 6204
Joined: December 25th, 2008, 12:45 pm

Re: Joc Pederson

#2 Post by Todd Zola » May 12th, 2016, 1:31 pm

The sample size of the good is far too small to be predictive, not to mention the difference is within the boundaries of statistical noise. K-rate is the most telling and unfortunately that's getting better, not worse.

The bulb may still go one but I see nothing more than a platoon player that will tease for stretches and isn't even running enough to have a useful floor, at least for fantasy.
Catchers are like prostate exams -- comes a time where you can't put if off any longer, so you may as well get it over with and take it up the butt - The Forum Funklord

I'd rather be wrong for the right reasons than right for the wrong reasons - The Forum Funklord

Always remember, never forget, never say always or never. - The Forum Funklord

You know you have to seek therapy when you see one of your pitchers had a bad night and it takes you 15 minutes to find the team you have him on. - The Forum Funklord

Post Reply