I am not ever single player dependent. But if Verlander is plan A, then I'd like to know whether I will get him at whatda_big_kid_94 wrote:The point to that is you wait to the last couple of alternatives, you have let the market drive you, not vice versa. Let's say you value Verlander at 38 units. OK - that means Verlander is going for a minimum of 38 units - so someone is already spending 38 units to get Verlander. The money's spent ...it's just a question now of who he goes home with. The outcome isn't really going to guide the auction ... there's only one Verlander and there's a lot of someone elses'. By waiting for Verlander, you may be letting better dollar for dollar value go by ...and, as you noted, as the supply dries up, the competition will drive up his price - again with guys you are in competition with for his services. However, if his name comes out 6th and someone says 40, now what? You're not getting him, the money's still been spent prior to auction and you are looking at those 2nd pitchers anyway.aburt19 wrote:There is another reason for bringing up a stud player and that is that the outcome on the player guides the
direction of the auction. For example, an AL only league and you need an anchor for your pitching staff. Verlander
is available. Until Verlander is nominated, you wouldn't know whether to pass on other pitchers that aren't quite as
good an anchor as Verlander. In addition, without Verlander your #2 starter needs to be better than if you get
Verlander. I don't go into the auction with the idea that X player is mine no matter the cost. If I get down to the
last couple of alternatives, then my mindset may change. But if I need an anchor for my pitching staff, I want to
know whether I can roster Verlander at value in order to guide my auction regarding the other alternatives.
What you have outlined is a strategy that seems to be single player dependent ... and that very rarely, if ever, works out.
I consider a reasonable market price. If I don't, I go to plan B. But I want to know early in the auction so I don't
pass up pitchers that fit plan B because I'm waiting for Verlander to be nominated. If no one else nominates him,
I will in the first round of nominations. That basically sets the parameters of the makeup of my pitching staff, because
in an AL only league there is no starter equal to Verlander.
I do sometimes have a problem with waiting so long because prices seem too high to me and get caught bidding
on the "last bottle of Bud Light".