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by Todd Zola
July 29th, 2023, 6:47 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trevor Story about to come off IL
Replies: 1
Views: 7769

Re: Trevor Story about to come off IL

Oakland has 5 games next week, only one against a LHP (at least for now). I'd probably use Story. Your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
July 9th, 2023, 7:09 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Jarren Duran vs Riley Greene
Replies: 1
Views: 7655

Re: Jarren Duran vs Riley Greene

It's pretty clear Alex Cora wants to keep Duran in a platoon, at least for now. He could change his mind at any time, and things could change after the trade deadline.
by Todd Zola
July 9th, 2023, 10:56 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Bryce Miller on IP limit this year?
Replies: 1
Views: 7726

Re: Bryce Miller on IP limit this year?

We both have access to the same news - your guess is as good as mine. The current blister is serving to limit innings; it probably depends on when he is ready to return.
by Todd Zola
July 9th, 2023, 10:01 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: What constitutes the dreaded label "injury prone"
Replies: 1
Views: 7586

Re: What constitutes the dreaded label "injury prone"

There is no definition obviously. I'm more likely to use it for repeated soft tissue stuff than flukes, but it's a completely subjective designation.
by Todd Zola
July 4th, 2023, 10:48 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade this year affects 2024 keepers
Replies: 2
Views: 7947

Re: Trade this year affects 2024 keepers

Inflation isn't linear, so I don't know about the prices, but I prefer to avoid health risks as keepers, so my lean is dealing Lowe and Judge. That said, the chief objective is fortifying this season and not worrying about next year, so I'd favor the deal I felt most improves my chances.
by Todd Zola
July 1st, 2023, 11:18 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Aroldis Chapman's new role
Replies: 1
Views: 7559

Re: Aroldis Chapman's new role

Crystal ball question - your guess is as good as mine, but I doubt the Rangers are done upgrading the bullpen.
by Todd Zola
June 25th, 2023, 3:05 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Judge.....what's his trade value now?
Replies: 6
Views: 9583

Re: Judge.....what's his trade value now?

Lopez, by a pretty wide margin. I expect SEA to make a run, but still Lopez.
by Todd Zola
June 25th, 2023, 2:45 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Judge.....what's his trade value now?
Replies: 6
Views: 9583

Re: Judge.....what's his trade value now?

I can't gauge whether to take the deal -- too many nuances for which I am not privy. Your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
June 24th, 2023, 8:02 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Judge.....what's his trade value now?
Replies: 6
Views: 9583

Re: Judge.....what's his trade value now?

Judge and Alvarez are both risks the rest of the season (if not every year).
by Todd Zola
June 15th, 2023, 8:15 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Brandon Lowe and chronic back issues
Replies: 1
Views: 1892

Re: Brandon Lowe and chronic back issues

I bought the dip on Lowe, but learned my lesson. With so many middle infielders (and Franco playing every day) even if healthy, I suspect Lowe's days of playing every day are over. Plus, we could be returning to when it's optimal to get some speed from the middle.
by Todd Zola
June 9th, 2023, 6:34 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Volpe vs Oswald Pereza
Replies: 1
Views: 1798

Re: Volpe vs Oswald Pereza

Your guess is as good as mine.
by Todd Zola
May 28th, 2023, 8:14 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: 2-start pitchers
Replies: 1
Views: 6426

Re: 2-start pitchers

I use the rankings I produce for Rotowire and Mastersball subscribers which include a typical, non-closing reliever within the ranks for a point of comparison.
by Todd Zola
May 27th, 2023, 1:01 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade offered
Replies: 3
Views: 2188

Re: Trade offered

I have not looked into Ward.

The concern with Miller is innings in a head to head format. My earlier comment was simply a counter to the high fastball usage.
by Todd Zola
May 27th, 2023, 8:38 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade offered
Replies: 3
Views: 2188

Re: Trade offered

Deals are about how they help the team -- only you can decide, based on the results of the first several weeks, whether Yoshida adds more points potential than would be lost with Miller.

The other consideration is Royce Lewis should be back Monday and can go into UT.
by Todd Zola
May 23rd, 2023, 9:06 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Bryce Miller.....is his FB that good?
Replies: 2
Views: 1930

Re: Bryce Miller.....is his FB that good?

Miller has a plus slider and is developing a changeup.

When you can locate, you don't have one pitch, you have a low and away fastball, a down and in fastball, etc.

Unless I was getting back an established starter, it's not something I'd do. Your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
May 17th, 2023, 12:14 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Sell high on Rooker
Replies: 1
Views: 1859

Re: Sell high on Rooker

The power may be supported, it remains to be seen if it subsists. I don't know the league culture, if you feel there is something in it for the other team, see what they say.
by Todd Zola
May 14th, 2023, 4:37 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Lance Lynn.......bp pitcher??
Replies: 1
Views: 1839

Re: Lance Lynn.......bp pitcher??

Clearly not sharp, but high BABIP and HR/FB help explain xFIP and SIERA in normal range. Lynn is a hold for me, your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
May 9th, 2023, 4:40 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Kelenic.....breakout year and worth trading for?
Replies: 1
Views: 1863

Re: Kelenic.....breakout year and worth trading for?

The league adjusted to Kelenic; now he needs to adjust back, hopefully faster this time. Verdugo appears to have found something as well, he's playing with more of a confident maturity, so to say Verdugo has the higher floor is misleading, as that implies less upside. I suspect Kelenic's ceiling is ...
by Todd Zola
April 30th, 2023, 6:46 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: trade offering
Replies: 2
Views: 1892

Re: trade offering

Without even being sure of what a #4 is, Wells has a chance to be more. I don't know how the weekly scores normally flesh out. Seems to me it's QS/wins versus Saves and 1/2 holds. Which side gives you the best chance of either winning one or competing in both? Both Grays have health concerns, so tha...
by Todd Zola
April 27th, 2023, 2:38 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Berrios vs Taj Bradley
Replies: 1
Views: 1901

Re: Berrios vs Taj Bradley

While I can't say Berrios has figured it out, I prefer track record over promise.
by Todd Zola
April 21st, 2023, 6:52 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Rookie pitchers
Replies: 1
Views: 1879

Re: Rookie pitchers

I don't use a one size fits all approach. Taj Bradley certainly checks the right boxes. For this season, I'd prefer Bradley over Mason Miller and Brayan Bello for this season (not suggesting they're available, just framing things). If part of my plan was upgrading pitching through FAAB, Bradley is l...
by Todd Zola
April 13th, 2023, 5:05 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Bryson Stott or Nolan Gorman?
Replies: 1
Views: 1867

Re: Bryson Stott or Nolan Gorman?

Stott for more speed, Gorman for more power.
by Todd Zola
April 9th, 2023, 9:01 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Pitch clock leading to reduced velo?
Replies: 1
Views: 1951

Re: Pitch clock leading to reduced velo?

Everyone I have heard talk about the pitch clock and its effects predicted there would be some early getting used to things, then business as normal - so no, I'm not worried.
by Todd Zola
April 8th, 2023, 8:00 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Super early season trade?
Replies: 3
Views: 2335

Re: Super early season trade?

My projections are such that they all have an equal chance. That's what a projection is, a 50th percentile range of outcomes. Lopez made 32 starts last season and was one of only a handful to throw 180 IP. This is not to say he isn't a risk, every pitcher is a risk, but the issues he had in 2021 are...
by Todd Zola
April 7th, 2023, 4:58 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Super early season trade?
Replies: 3
Views: 2335

Re: Super early season trade?

I can't pick sides in a deal, there is too much context. All I can do is offer stuff to think about and in this case, it's don't get so glued to one week's worth of play and focus on the big picture and expectations heading into the season and which side will help your team be more competitive. Gran...
by Todd Zola
April 7th, 2023, 12:52 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: please rate my team
Replies: 3
Views: 2353

Re: please rate my team

Tampa loves its L/R R/L matchups. Most of the batters righthanded, so if Raley does anything, he could play against all RHP, mixing between DH, 1B and some corner outfield.
by Todd Zola
April 6th, 2023, 5:10 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Gausman reduced velo
Replies: 1
Views: 1828

Re: Gausman reduced velo

Minimal concern. Not enough for a knee-jerk reaction, but sufficient to pay close attention to the news and monitor his next start.
by Todd Zola
April 5th, 2023, 4:02 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: please rate my team
Replies: 3
Views: 2353

Re: please rate my team

Keep an eye on Gonzalez and Ramirez, they're in danger of losing playing time. I'm not a fan of stashing injured guys/minors if I plan on contending, unless they're trade bait. I can see stashing Story, but for me anyway, Ben Joyce is a waste of a valuable reserve spot. Yeah, I know he throws 105. I...
by Todd Zola
April 2nd, 2023, 3:51 pm
Forum: Prospects & Minor League Discussion
Topic: Connor Norby
Replies: 1
Views: 5676

Re: Connor Norby

It's Perry's list, he'll respond, but I want to point out Norby is No. 34 on James Anderson's Top-400 on Rotowire, so Perry is not alone.
by Todd Zola
April 2nd, 2023, 8:09 am
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: Player pool help
Replies: 1
Views: 4441

Re: Player pool help

by Todd Zola
March 25th, 2023, 2:33 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: players who start out on the IL
Replies: 1
Views: 1899

Re: players who start out on the IL

LABR has a quirky rule where anyone drafted or picked up via FAAB has to stay in the active lineup so long as they are active in MLB. You can release an active player, but you cannot reserve him unless he is hurt or sent to the minors. However, reserves can be jumped up and down from active to reser...
by Todd Zola
March 21st, 2023, 10:36 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Tout Wars Weekend
Replies: 1
Views: 2122

Re: Tout Wars Weekend

NLTOUT.jpg
by Todd Zola
March 18th, 2023, 11:48 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Finalizing keeper list
Replies: 5
Views: 2399

Re: Finalizing keeper list

If Altuve's thumb is broken, you have your answer.
by Todd Zola
March 17th, 2023, 10:55 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Tout Wars Weekend
Replies: 1
Views: 2122

Tout Wars Weekend

All the drafts can be followed via http://tinyurl.com/2023ToutWars There may be a Live Zoom with me as the host for the Saturday drafts. If so, I'll post the link. American League Saturday, 9:00 AM ET Patrick Davitt, BaseballHQ Larry Schechter, Winning Fantasy Baseball Jeff Erickson, Rotowire Rob Le...
by Todd Zola
March 10th, 2023, 1:16 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: CVRC league adjustments
Replies: 1
Views: 2643

Re: CVRC league adjustments

Seems right to me.

As I'm sure you know, these adjustments may be better than the conventional treatment for inflation, but weird stuff will still occur, so they remain just a (better) guide.
by Todd Zola
March 9th, 2023, 6:24 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Finalizing keeper list
Replies: 5
Views: 2399

Re: Finalizing keeper list

I'm personally finding a way to keep Gausman. He's in the no-brainer category for me. I'm kinda planting my flag there.
by Todd Zola
March 7th, 2023, 10:15 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: American League LABR
Replies: 2
Views: 2133

Re: American League LABR

I wouldn't have bid if I had concerns. The AL was pretty chalky compared to the NL.
by Todd Zola
March 5th, 2023, 11:01 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: American League LABR
Replies: 2
Views: 2133

American League LABR

I achieved what I wanted. Let's see what happens. C Kirk 17 C Alfaro 4 1B Casas 12 3B Jung 10 CI Urshela 5 2B Merrifield 14 SS Bichette 35 MI A Frazier 3 OF Teoscar 21 OF Kwan 19 OT Hays 11 OF Olivares 7 OF Brennan 2 UT LeMahieu 16 SP Gausman 25 SP Singer 15 SP P Lopez 12 SP E Rodriguez 6 SP Montas ...
by Todd Zola
March 3rd, 2023, 9:40 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Keeper Help
Replies: 3
Views: 2153

Re: Keeper Help

When you get down to that point in projection-driven rankings, you need to keep in mind it is assumed that every pitcher is active for all projected stats, and it doesn't consider you can use someone else the weeks you reserve them. As mentioned, Brown if more about letting him get a year of experie...
by Todd Zola
March 3rd, 2023, 8:47 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Keeper Help
Replies: 3
Views: 2153

Re: Keeper Help

Do you have a reserve for in season management?

The reason being if you could reserve Brown if he's not pitching, that is a nice long-term play.

If it is a matter of flags fly forever, and all you care about is this season, Garcia is the safest and at a profitable price.
by Todd Zola
March 3rd, 2023, 11:56 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade offered to me
Replies: 7
Views: 3004

Re: Trade offered to me

Best I can do is reiterate I expect a big season from Gausman.
by Todd Zola
February 27th, 2023, 7:55 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Tweaking my roster
Replies: 3
Views: 3303

Re: Tweaking my roster-Josh Smith for 2023

Good morning Everyone. Doesn't Josh Smith qualify at both 3B and OF for 2023 Drafts?? I apologize if this has been asked and answered but this is the only message I see re search on Josh Smith. Thank you! Mike I mean, you could have started another thread and not called up an old one ;) Josh H. Smi...
by Todd Zola
February 23rd, 2023, 3:54 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade offered to me
Replies: 7
Views: 3004

Re: Trade offered to me

If you're not keeping Gausman, it's the same offer, hence analysis as before.
by Todd Zola
February 21st, 2023, 10:10 am
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 02/18/23 Points Leagues Trackers Projections
Replies: 2
Views: 2104

Re: 02/18/23 Points Leagues Trackers Projections

SB are corrected.

Fantrax doesn't use AB in their scoring, it's not one of the displayed categories.
by Todd Zola
February 21st, 2023, 9:57 am
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 02/18/23 Points Leagues Trackers Projections
Replies: 2
Views: 2104

Re: 02/18/23 Points Leagues Trackers Projections

Arghh. OK, thanks. I will fix them all now.
by Todd Zola
February 19th, 2023, 2:21 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Advice
Replies: 2
Views: 1936

Re: Advice

About to do radio for two hours so I have to make this quick. A list of players I like really isn't helpful. You have to like them. The best thing to do is (assuming you subscribe) is finding the players where I am higher and researching them. As for NFBC auction, pitchers are going to go much highe...
by Todd Zola
February 17th, 2023, 5:25 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade offered to me
Replies: 7
Views: 3004

Re: Trade offered to me

I can't say with 100% certainty without having a better feel for the league, but my sense is I'd prefer Tucker over Mullins, but prefer Vlad and Mullins over Tucker.

I prefer to freeze salary than deal with inflation, but having experience in this league is what matters most.
by Todd Zola
February 17th, 2023, 3:35 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade offered to me
Replies: 7
Views: 3004

Re: Trade offered to me

I don't know if I'd make the deal, it seems fair. Here are some points to at least consider. Tucker batted 6th 36 times last season. He hit 5th for 82 games and was 3rd/4th 28 times. I'm not concerned about a season in the six-hole. I'm also less concerned about Mullins falling into a platoon. It ap...
by Todd Zola
January 29th, 2023, 1:53 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Most likely to miss significant PT
Replies: 2
Views: 2028

Re: Most likely to miss significant PT

This is the sort of thing I need to refer to the subscription service.

That said, your approach is reasonable.
by Todd Zola
January 27th, 2023, 10:46 am
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: 671277 - Luis Garcia- WAS in Fantrax Tracker
Replies: 1
Views: 5041

Re: 671277 - Luis Garcia- WAS in Fantrax Tracker

arghh. I'll fix it for today's update. You can override SP designation with his position.
by Todd Zola
January 21st, 2023, 8:07 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: QS in Fantrax Points Tracker
Replies: 3
Views: 2664

Re: QS in Fantrax Points Tracker

all set
by Todd Zola
January 21st, 2023, 7:49 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: QS in Fantrax Points Tracker
Replies: 3
Views: 2664

Re: QS in Fantrax Points Tracker

Grumble, grumble...

On it.
by Todd Zola
January 13th, 2023, 1:51 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Never too early keeper advice
Replies: 10
Views: 4154

Re: Never too early keeper advice

Jansen is worth considering, AL catching is weaker than NL catching, so he's probably mid-pack among AL backstops.
by Todd Zola
January 10th, 2023, 1:27 pm
Forum: League Openings
Topic: Two openings in a 15-team mixed league, no trading, $100 entry
Replies: 1
Views: 3477

Re: Two openings in a 15-team mixed league, no trading, $100 entry

Hi - we have one opening in The Patrick B. Young League, run by Perry Van Hook. The draft is on Fantrax, starts around Jan. 24. Standard 5x5 with twice a week (Mon and Fri) moves for everyone. $1000 FAAB with weekly (Saturday night) runs. No trades. $100 entry If interested, please PM me your email ...
by Todd Zola
January 8th, 2023, 5:36 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: Dynasty Team Spreadsheet help
Replies: 1
Views: 1985

Re: Dynasty Team Spreadsheet help

Sorry, the only way to enter the players is manually. The process goes pretty quickly, but there is no automated process. It's built on a standard Excel spreadsheet.
by Todd Zola
January 7th, 2023, 8:50 am
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: Customizable Points(.xlsx) question
Replies: 1
Views: 1972

Re: Customizable Points(.xlsx) question

Everything was updated last night. If the 12/31 version is showing up for you, try refreshing.
by Todd Zola
December 29th, 2022, 10:57 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Never too early keeper advice
Replies: 10
Views: 4154

Re: Never too early keeper advice

Yes, worth considering. I don't see it limiting what can be done in the auction any more than having to pay inflated prices limits what one can do.
by Todd Zola
December 20th, 2022, 8:50 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Keepers in Dynasty
Replies: 4
Views: 2489

Re: Keepers in Dynasty

Is there a separate minor league draft, or do you lump everything together so some draft prospects and others draft MLB reserves to fill out the 15 spots? If that's the approach, this is a lot like the XFL. Teams wanting to win draft spec closers, 4th outfielders etc, while rebuilding teams draft th...
by Todd Zola
December 20th, 2022, 3:35 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 12-17-22 Start release
Replies: 2
Views: 2047

Re: 12-17-22 Start release

All pitchers are entered with "P". "R" designates a reserve.
by Todd Zola
December 19th, 2022, 9:06 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Keepers in Dynasty
Replies: 4
Views: 2489

Re: Keepers in Dynasty

I agree with India over Wong, but not De La Cruz over Hays, but that could be an irrational belief Hays isn't done. From a more practical perspective, Hays is in a better lineup, and even with the Camden Yards renovation, it's a better hitting venue than Marlins Park.
by Todd Zola
December 19th, 2022, 2:30 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Never too early keeper advice
Replies: 10
Views: 4154

Re: Never too early keeper advice

It's generally not a sophomore slump; it's most always organic regression.

Which way to go is a matter of risk aversion and ability to absorb the extra salary and what can be done with it.

Altuve is much safer, we don't know Pena's baseline. It comes down to the $11 difference.
by Todd Zola
November 30th, 2022, 9:27 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Never too early keeper advice
Replies: 10
Views: 4154

Re: Never too early keeper advice

I can't judge trade equity - too many factors. That said, I'm considering it if I have Arozarena, but can't say it's a no-brainer.

Keep in mind, the balanced schedule should help AL East (Cole, Gausman) and hurt AL Central (Bieber).
by Todd Zola
November 25th, 2022, 7:42 pm
Forum: League Openings
Topic: Two openings in a 15-team mixed league, no trading, $100 entry
Replies: 1
Views: 3477

Two openings in a 15-team mixed league, no trading, $100 entry

Hi - we have to openings in The Jerry Beckham League, run by Perry Van Hook. The draft is early December on Fantrax. Standard 5x5 with twice a week (Mon and Fri) moves for everyone. $1000 FAAB with weekly (Saturday night) runs.

If interested, please PM me your email and I'll hook you up with Perry.
by Todd Zola
November 1st, 2022, 7:41 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Never too early keeper advice
Replies: 10
Views: 4154

Re: Never too early keeper advice

I have a few minutes so...

First seven look fine. I'd like another solid arm to help balance some of Ray's risk, but he's worthy of the extension.

I'm a Pena fan, he'd probably be my #8.
by Todd Zola
October 28th, 2022, 2:45 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Never too early keeper advice
Replies: 10
Views: 4154

Re: Never too early keeper advice

I'm in crunch mode for the 2021 launch, then I have First Pitch Arizona. I'll circle back mid-November.
by Todd Zola
August 29th, 2022, 1:06 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: H2H single league playoff pitching strategy
Replies: 1
Views: 6333

Re: H2H single league playoff pitching strategy

In general, there are two approaches. 1) Using what you feel is the best lineup 2) Playing defense to combat what you perceive to be your opponent's lineup I usually lean to #1, but will consider #2 if my opponent is clearly strong/deficient in particular categories. A major part of the approach is ...
by Todd Zola
August 12th, 2022, 9:19 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: 2023 flyer
Replies: 1
Views: 1131

Re: 2023 flyer

Carpenter is unsigned, so it would matter the team and best guess at role.

I would only keep either if I had no other option at all as a keeper. I don't like giving up the opportunity cost of the roster spot.
by Todd Zola
August 7th, 2022, 12:45 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Kiriloff...done for the year...2023?
Replies: 1
Views: 843

Re: Kiriloff...done for the year...2023?

I'm not a fan of speculative keepers. Your mileage may vary.
by Todd Zola
August 2nd, 2022, 3:21 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: He's baaaack......Kelenic
Replies: 3
Views: 1722

Re: He's baaaack......Kelenic

Tampa Bob wrote: August 2nd, 2022, 2:14 pm

A question I am asking myself is who will pick up the saves in Baltimore. If it's a single closer that's the guy I'm looking for.
Stop asking, the answer is Felix Bautista.
by Todd Zola
July 31st, 2022, 12:39 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: He's baaaack......Kelenic
Replies: 3
Views: 1722

Re: He's baaaack......Kelenic

He turned 23 two weeks ago.

His first shot came at 21 years old, following a year with no minor league play.

I can't say whether to bid, but I can suggest cease from wondering if he's a Quad-A guy.
by Todd Zola
July 25th, 2022, 11:46 am
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Give up W+QS and Ks for pitching ratios?
Replies: 1
Views: 6356

Re: Give up W+QS and Ks for pitching ratios?

I help with player analysis and offer ways to approach decisions (which you clearly are doing). I leave roster moves up to you folks, you have the necessary information.
by Todd Zola
July 24th, 2022, 6:41 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Tweaking my roster
Replies: 3
Views: 3303

Re: Tweaking my roster

Not a fan of Trammell or Bolt, but I guess I'd rather see what Bolt can do.
by Todd Zola
July 23rd, 2022, 3:14 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Prato vs Carpenter
Replies: 1
Views: 796

Re: Prato vs Carpenter

To me, it's more a question of philosophy than looking at my ROS numbers. With playing time questions for both, I'd rather dance with the devil I know, though Carpenter's playing time also revolves around whether the Yankees make a move, the rumor is Benintendi (which could even aid Pratto). Maybe r...
by Todd Zola
July 17th, 2022, 8:29 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Kutter Crawford vs Domingo German
Replies: 1
Views: 814

Re: Kutter Crawford vs Domingo German

Who do you think puts up better numbers in the second half? German will be throwing in front of the best offense in the AL but his FB is 1-2 ticks slower than his lowest speed since he's been in the majors and that's been borne out by his poor K-rate in the minors. Crawford has looked serviceable b...
by Todd Zola
July 16th, 2022, 7:34 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: HR Derby
Replies: 1
Views: 2805

Re: HR Derby

Zero, zilch, nada.
by Todd Zola
July 9th, 2022, 8:50 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Nolan Jones
Replies: 1
Views: 803

Re: Nolan Jones

Jones wasn't so much hot as his first half merited a callup and there was a need (in terms of opening and spark) at the major league level. His HardHit% spiked, if he can keep it up, he should be able to overcome his K% so long as it stays below 30%. If he continues to hit, there are pathways to pla...
by Todd Zola
July 7th, 2022, 2:17 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: When to cut bait
Replies: 7
Views: 3709

Re: When to cut bait

I have access to a database with the info, so I haven't had to learn how to pull it from Statcast/Baseball Savant. It should be there.
by Todd Zola
July 6th, 2022, 10:15 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: When to cut bait
Replies: 7
Views: 3709

Re: When to cut bait

I'm willing to cut bait with anyone spending a lot of the first half on the IL (O'Neill). Injuries beget more injuries and there's the time it takes to shake off the rust. Straw loses a ton of utility in the nine-hole. Depending on roster construct and category needs, cutting bait is absolutely defe...
by Todd Zola
July 3rd, 2022, 5:01 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Which SP do you like RoS?
Replies: 2
Views: 2815

Re: Which SP do you like RoS?

I'm evaluating for the next few weeks, not few months -- there's just too much going on to look ahead ROS. Nobody from the group is pitching well. Suarez has pitched the best lately, Kikuchi has the most potential to go on a run. I'm still on Kukuchi, but wouldn't blame anyone to go in another direc...
by Todd Zola
June 26th, 2022, 7:43 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: trade options
Replies: 3
Views: 3199

Re: trade options

Gilbert is safer, Pivetta could have a higher upside.
by Todd Zola
June 25th, 2022, 7:57 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: trade options
Replies: 3
Views: 3199

Re: trade options

Not my thing to say yay or nay to a deal so...

I trust Logan Gilbert to perform a lot more than I trust Riley Greene, at least for this season.

Trades are not done in a vacuum, especially those with keeper implications. There is only one person to ask if it's enough.
by Todd Zola
June 20th, 2022, 12:03 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: change at C?
Replies: 1
Views: 2538

Re: change at C?

Stassi is in the you know what you'll get department. Garver is the better player, if you need more than what Stassi is likely to give, Garver should be better once he returns.
by Todd Zola
June 20th, 2022, 12:22 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Riley Greene
Replies: 3
Views: 1997

Re: Riley Greene

1. Slight lean to Gilbert.

2. Not a question I can answer. Too many factors for which I am not privy. Not to mention, too much can happen in the next 95-100 games to know.
by Todd Zola
June 19th, 2022, 9:09 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Riley Greene
Replies: 3
Views: 1997

Re: Riley Greene

How much FAAB is not a question I can answer -- too many nuances. He could be one of the last possible difference makers in AL only, by bid would reflect my level of need. I like to estimate how much, an average, I'll need per week (say 2 units for 14 more weeks, making up numbers). My bid would lea...
by Todd Zola
June 16th, 2022, 11:47 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: PitchCon
Replies: 2
Views: 1183

Re: PitchCon

sboyerii wrote: June 16th, 2022, 11:43 am What does it cost?
Pretty sure it was a free with the hope viewers would donate to the charity. The videos are posted on Youtube, which is too bad for me since I later discovered I was way off base in my discussion (which I talk about in a Z Files which is posted in the subscriber section).
by Todd Zola
June 12th, 2022, 7:59 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Stripling or Winder in AL only
Replies: 4
Views: 1563

Re: Stripling or Winder in AL only

Too many factors to get that granular - but I still believe in Kikuchi.
by Todd Zola
June 12th, 2022, 7:45 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Stripling or Winder in AL only
Replies: 4
Views: 1563

Re: Stripling or Winder in AL only

Stripling collected a QS today -- I'm personally not thinking ROS, I want the better guy now and will deal with a change if necessary. Stripling is in the rotation, he's pitching well and the team context is good.
by Todd Zola
June 10th, 2022, 8:10 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Kikuchi....washed up?
Replies: 1
Views: 1435

Re: Kikuchi....washed up?

Kikuchi had a solid May, but June has been rough. I'm in more wait and see mode, but it's league dependent as not every setup is conducive to stashing a player.
by Todd Zola
June 6th, 2022, 10:44 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Kiermaeir vs Steele Walker
Replies: 1
Views: 1449

Re: Kiermaeir vs Steele Walker

Playing time is key for me in H2H, and Kiermaier is still chipping in across the board and I'm not sure how much Steele Walker will play.
by Todd Zola
May 23rd, 2022, 9:22 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Looking for a comment on how my team looks
Replies: 1
Views: 1499

Re: Looking for a comment on how my team looks

Hopefully you've replaced a couple of injured Tampa guys.

Not sure what you're looking for -- as the standings reflect, you have too many non-closing relievers and it's costing you in the pitching counting stats.
by Todd Zola
May 22nd, 2022, 12:09 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: When to cut bait
Replies: 7
Views: 3709

Re: When to cut bait

Morton has pitched well in his last three starts.

Last season, Hendricks started out terribly, crushed for a spell in the middle but ended in another rut. His lack of dominance lessens his margin of error.
by Todd Zola
May 21st, 2022, 11:46 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: When to cut bait
Replies: 7
Views: 3709

Re: When to cut bait

There is no magic formula. I look at everyone individually, trying to uncover the reason for the slow start while comparing that to the likelihood the available players maintain something close to their level of production. Plate discipline and batted ball data (hard hit rate, etc) are a couple of t...
by Todd Zola
May 21st, 2022, 10:55 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Rutschman up.....
Replies: 1
Views: 1488

Re: Rutschman up.....

Crystal ball question, probably best to approach in a practical sense.

Am I OK with Stassi or do I need an upgrade behind the plate?

FWIW -- Baltimore's top of the lineup isn't horrible, so if Rutschman is slotted in the top-5, the context isn't bad.
by Todd Zola
May 20th, 2022, 8:47 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Sano worth flyer for this year....2023?
Replies: 1
Views: 1440

Re: Sano worth flyer for this year....2023?

Given, every league is contextual, but my approach is limiting stashes as I want every available spot available to help bully counting stats in this limited offense environment. In fact, I've dropped both Sano and Haniger, but they were mixed leagues with no keeper implications. This isn't player ev...
by Todd Zola
May 9th, 2022, 10:33 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Pitching matchups this week
Replies: 4
Views: 1617

Re: Pitching matchups this week

Questions can be asked, but my promised response applies to the subscriber section. I am offering a new subscriber feature this year with expanded weekly and daily rankings and have decided to respect those continuing to subscribe in-season and not give away content for which others are paying.
by Todd Zola
May 9th, 2022, 10:19 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Pitching matchups this week
Replies: 4
Views: 1617

Re: Pitching matchups this week

I'm providing daily and weekly subscriber content for this intended purpose. To respect those with the in-season service, I'm not comfortable continuing to address questions of this nature, especially since the reply will almost always be whatever is best for your matchup.
by Todd Zola
May 6th, 2022, 11:01 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Kikuchi mechanics and new pitch
Replies: 1
Views: 1464

Re: Kikuchi mechanics and new pitch

Your team, your call. It's contextual to what you need most in a H2H matchup. Am I encouraged? Yes, absolutely. I'm aggressive with pitching (in the low run-scoring landscape) and would use Kikuchi in most roto leagues, depending on other matchups.
by Todd Zola
May 2nd, 2022, 9:57 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: 2 start vs 1 start
Replies: 2
Views: 1488

Re: 2 start vs 1 start

In H2H, it's more about what choice wins the most categories. If it looks like your opponent will take ratios, then the two start option helps assure taking wins/QS and K's. I'd make the decision using that thinking as opposed to "projecting" Flexen and Bradish.
by Todd Zola
April 30th, 2022, 10:42 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Royals OF setup
Replies: 1
Views: 1489

Re: Royals OF setup

With Hunter Dozier and Whit Merrifield able to play infield and outfield, as you suggest the Royals have a bunch of possible combinations, which should eventually involve MJ Melendez, perhaps sooner than later. Based on their recent machinations, I suspect this will be a fluid situation. However, th...
by Todd Zola
April 28th, 2022, 1:33 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: 042322 UPDATE
Replies: 3
Views: 15213

Re: 042322 UPDATE

I am mid move waiting for the internet /cable guy to get here so replying via phone. The file has been fixed, I can send via email later, but yes, dividing hits by average (and rounding) yields the proper AB. The column copied wrong, the rest is accurate.