Mastersball Fantasy Forum

Black Sox

Hey man - no sweat. I do the same thing only usually toward the 15 team format. It makes sense when you prep for particular formats that it colors your thoughts on certain players. Funny - I re-read your comments again and laughed. I can see you are waiting this year. Actually, I don't blame you an...

Black Sox

Good point Ryan, should have avoided the round comments.

Black Sox

Here is mine... 12 Ramirez, Hanley ( guess will find out if down #'s due to problems with old manager ) 11 Tulowitzki, Troy ( Love him, but 1st round?? Imagine he only hit 5 HR in Sept last year) 10 Reyes, Jose ( Just choose to get my speed elsewhere, price + Injury risk = no thank you ) 9 Ramirez, ...

Black Sox

Here is mine... For me 2B is one of my favorite positions this year. There are just soo many choices I like after the elite players are gone, and since most of elite carry some health risk, it's even easier to wait on this position and grab some studs elsewhere. 12 Cano, Robinson ( 1st round..... uh...

Black Sox

It's hard to judge since I can't see who WAS avaialble when you picked, but you just have a lot of players that I'm avoiding for one reason or another. I think 2B is DEEP so I wouldn't want Cano with my first round pick. I don't know if either was avaiable but I'd have targeted Longoria/Wright with ...

Black Sox

Here is mine... I will preface this by saying that I take a different approach than most at the C position. I always look to draft C later than most ( and I play in 2 C leagues ). I just feel that the quality of player you pass on early in a draft to select a top tier option can cripple you later in...

Black Sox

Here's Mine.... 12 Pujols, Albert 11 Cabrera, Miguel 10 Votto, Joey 9 Gonzalez, Adrian 8 Fielder, Prince 7 Teixeira, Mark 6 Youkilis, Kevin ( love that flexibility plus he's been hitting since Oct ) 5 Howard, Ryan 4 Dunn, Adam 3 Morales, Kendry (worried about the ankle issue but would feel comfortab...

Black Sox

If I can speak for him ( cause it's a good question ). I think what's being asked is when a new CVRC is released, can he just copy and paste the hitter file since all that really changes are the player projections, or do you ever change the calculation formulas which would mean we'd need to use the ...

Black Sox

When I broke down the player pools of draftable players it came out to... C - 4 1B - 20 2B - 17 SS - 12 3B - 14 OF - 69 DH - 4 After re calculating for enough C it became C -24 1B - 17 2B - 14 SS - 10 3B - 13 OF - 58 DH - 4 Top 10 becomes Pujols, Albert $55 Cabrera, Miguel $40 Gonzalez, Adrian $36 V...

Black Sox

Also Todd any tips on changing the catagory weights of SB & BA or changing the BA baseline to compensate for a 10 team league. Would either of these things help since it seems that BA & SB become overvalued in a more shallow league.

Black Sox

Thanks Todd. We play with 2 c 1 1b/2b/3b/ss 1 mi 1 cnr 5 of and 1 ut.

Black Sox

I don't play in auctions I play in drafts. I use the $$ generated to help with creating tiers and also to help define who I should be targeting early in a draft. The reason why I'm asking is that I noticed some players who I'm high on having little to no value at their position when I thought the op...

Black Sox

Just wondering your opinion on using the CVRC for valuation in a 10 team mixed league. Do you look at the values differently in a league like this or is it no different than a 12 team league. Any tips or differnt ways to be looking at it?

Black Sox

They didn't seem to concerned when they vastly overpaid for J.Werth. That was do to two things... 1. They knew to get someone to sign with them they were going to have to overpay. 2. The current ownership. Quite frankly the owner prob won't be alive in 2017 and as the saying goes " you can't ta...

Black Sox

Viper, You make a compelling argument and might be right. I also know that the owner of the Nats is older and would like to see a winner before he passes. They also might be the only team that wouldn't regret signing him to what he wants. I mean one only need to look at the slow decline of A Rod and...

Black Sox

Miggy was busted this morning for DUI. Just wondering I've heard a lot of people ( me included) making him the #2 ranked pick in a re draft this year. Does this arrest make you alter your ranking of him for this season?

Black Sox

Perry, Thanks for the tips. Playing in lower $$ leagues to generate ADP's was one tip I forgot to include. Made the mistake one year of not taking the time to rank out the first round just assumed I'd get one of the top guys I wanted since my ranks were vastly different than the norm and was caught ...

Black Sox

Good Point. To poke holes in my own example would be A. Laroche a classic 1H / 2H player, yet when he didn't struggle and put up good numbers in the 1H last year lot's of people started predicting this was the year he'd put it all together, yet when all was said and done his stats looked about the s...

Black Sox

Good answer and I understand your overall point. I just think your wrong :D. I just think the example you give takes the human element out of it. I don't know exactly why Tex struggles in April, I've just seen it happen to him too many times not to expect it year after year. But I'll trade your stas...

Black Sox

Todd, I've heard the whole if a coin is flipped 9 times and comes up heads 9 times how likely is it to come up heads on the next flip? Answer 50%. But were not talking coins, were talking players. At what point does the evidance add up and suggest that it's reasonable to assume that Tex will struggl...

Black Sox

Just wondering if anyone wanted to share how they go about preparing for the new season. I like to ask this question every year since I've gotten some great idea's on how other people prepare for their drafts. For me besides my custom ranks and tier set up since my leagues are all drafted online I l...

Black Sox

Todd,

Love the fact you attempted to argue the other side. One counter point to the A Gon is coming off shoulder surgery so his early numbers might be down would be to look at what Tex gives you the first 6 weeks of the season. His early struggles are well documented.

Black Sox

This is a quote from the man himself talking about the risk the Red Sox were taking trading for him without knowing how his shoulder would respond... "Worried about his shoulder? He had played the entire season with it hurting. Multiple doctors had assured him that surgery would only make it be...

Black Sox

Todd, I thought I remembered reading in one of your articles that you stated you were going away from a tiered method of drafting? If I'm remembering correctly why is that, and what method are you using in it's place? I'd also love to here from anyone else on what method they use. Always like to see...

Black Sox

IMO - Without keeper consideration I'd rather have Wright than Braun. I think the numbers will be about equal ( Braun will prob have the higher BA ), and if that's the case I go for the shallower position. All this goes out the window if you think he goes back to producing like it's 2009, but I don'...

Black Sox

Todd,

Just sent it to your email box. Thanks for your help!

Black Sox

Todd, Figured out where the error is. When I switch the CRVC to 10 teams and hit click to generate values everything is fine until I try to view the rankings tabs. It is a different set of ranks than the other lists ( both the rankings lists are different from each other ) I've also tried running th...

Black Sox

Just wondering about the $$ rankings of these two players. When you look at the projections the only thing Upton beats Heyward in is SB ( 16 vs 12 ) other than that Heyward wins every time. Yet in a standard 15 team rank you have Upton as 5th best OF at $26 and Heyward as 47th best OF at $12 ???

Black Sox

Ended up making the deal traded M.Stanton & H.Kuroda for Tulo ( last week ) In answer to Lawrs question, I'm currently in 1st place, it's really been a two man race most of the year. Both the other team and I are 12 points + ahead of the 3rd place team. I just moved back into first after trailin...

Black Sox

Got the opportunity to deal for Tulo. What are people's thoughts. Enough time for him to make an impact? I'd be giving up M.Stanton and a lower level SP. The league is a redraft 10 team mix league.

Black Sox

Good point Todd! He knocked Axford out of my active line up currently ( also someone foolishly dropped B.Anderson so he's also stashed in my reserve). Because I made the Strasberg trade, I then delt M.Cain & C.Lewis for M.Holliday. Since I never had Strasberg active I figured swapping M.Cain &am...

Black Sox

Ok I ended up dealing him BEFORE his start. I ended up getting the team to trade me Z.Greinke AND R.Nolasco. I was thrilled, thought he vastly overpaid and did exactly what I wanted to do. So why do I regret the decision so much. Someone talk me down off the ledge. I knew he'd be good, never had a d...

Black Sox

Thanks Perry, that's what I was thinking, I just liked Nolasco going into the year and remembered how he dominated down the stretch last year. This is the only league I drafted Strasberg in so I just wanted to make sure I was not over valuing him since he will be limited when he comes up. He should ...

Black Sox

Thanks for the tips. I was never gonna do the top tier pitchers he was asking ( too me it's a joke ) but the league is shallow, I agree Cain is still too much to pay, C.Pena is my throw in for every deal his BA is a killer, and he just sits on my bench. Thanks again for the advice

Black Sox

I understand no one has a crystal ball but would people be looking to trade for him or are you afraid this could hamper him all year. I'd love to swing a trade since I'm low in runs the other guy asked for Ubaldo or Wainright which I'm not doing but what about M.Cain & C.Pena for him? if you don...

Black Sox

I'm in a 10 team mix. I drafted Strasberg & Heyward figuring that I'd flip them to a prospect hungry owner. Now that Strasberg is about to pitch I got an offer of Strasberg for R.Nolasco. Is this a no brainer, Nolasco is fine, struggling a little but will be dominate down the stretch? I did read...

Black Sox

I've heard rumors of a MB pitching tool to make it easy to view what it will take to adjust ratio cat's like ERA / WHIP / BA. ( ie I plug in my current numbers and set a target number and see what it would take) I REALLY suck at math and if such a tool exists I'd love to have it.

Thanks
Steve

Black Sox

I wouldn't make the deal since this is a keeper league. From here on out Tex puts up better numbers overall ( although the SB you'll get from Cruz are nice bonus). I will say I do enjoy trading for slow starters because if you belive they'll end up with their "normal" numbers than they mus...

Black Sox

Every week it's a tough call to keep him on my roster. I'm worried that they STILL can't figure out what's really wrong. That's what makes me scared I'm gonna hold on to him for 1/2 a season and still get nothing!

Black Sox

What are people's thoughts. I've been holding on to him in a few leagues but it's getting harder and harder, I've had to miss out on a few early surprises because of the lack of a roster spot. Would you keep him over Aroldis Chapman?

Black Sox

Looking for a back up OF for my shallow mixed league, who do people feel will have the most value overall if needed?

Choices

1. C.Cooglan
2. J.Willingham
3. J.Guillen

Black Sox

Just wondering if anyone has heard any news on him and if he's sticking with the big club and how much playing time to expect. I heard Buster Olney talking and he said the Giants are so impressed with his bat, that they are thinking of turing him into a hybrid player. He would be the teams back up c...

Black Sox

I've got the 5th pick in my AL only draft. Where should I focus early in the draft? Would you take Mauer or Kinsler if avaiable? Since there are less teams how would your strategy change? Should I focus on position scarcity early in the draft. I'm assuming the first 4 are A Rod Longoria Tex and Cabr...

Black Sox

ESPN is reporting that Jason Heyward is the ATL starting RF. Todd / Gary how does this info change your projections for him?

Black Sox

Update: Was able to switch C.Ruiz for M.Olivo, does that change your opinion on my above question?

Black Sox

In my 10 team mix, you must start 2 catchers. In a bunch of leagues my 2nd catcher seems to be C.Ruiz since I would select my last catcher in the reserve round. My question is do you think it would be better to pick up and start either B.Posey or C.Santana for the year, knowing that there is no gura...

Black Sox

didn't realize if I double click on heading it will sort, Thanks

Black Sox

Having trouble re sorting the player list to alphabetical. It looks like it's sorted by PA right now. Whenever I select I effects the formula. What am I doing wrong.

Thanks

Black Sox

read same thing as Viper, ( makes sense now why twins never commented on internal candidates ) I would think Downs would be the favorite over Gregg. Even though they gave Gregg those $$, he's pitched poorly and Downs was closer over Frasor before getting hurt.

Black Sox

I read Perry's comments he knows WAY more than me. I guess I just shy away from rookie pitchers in general, and with Chapman he can be great but it sounds like he's got some learning to do. I mean compare him to N.Feliz who's already pitched in the bigs or for a RP comparison D.Bard. All of these pl...

Black Sox

Great stuff Rotodog, but you expanded it to include 2b, when the discussion was just SS. What's your opinion if it's only SS were talking about.

Black Sox

Where would Gordon Beckham and Chone Figgins rank in your 2B consensus rankings -- or even simpler what tier? This may not be your exact order, or exact tier composition, but the approximate tiers are: Utley ---------- Kinsler Phillips Pedroia ---------- Cano Roberts Hill Zobrist ---------- Cabrera...

Black Sox

Tulo was hurt the 1st 1/2 of 08, other than that he's been a stud. I've been actively trying to get him in the 2nd round of my 10 team leagues. Went #11 to another team in one draft and fell to me at 17 in my draft last week ( started my team with Utley / Tulo / Youk and I was thrilled! ) I think Ro...

Black Sox

Oh ok, as a baseball fan I hate D.Baker, one of the most overated managers in baseball ( who benefited as much if not more from a roided B.Bonds ) I could right you a 1000 word essay on all the reasons I hate him, but we both touched on the main points. Now back to your main question :) ..... Here a...

Black Sox

What do you guys think of Aroldis Chapman? He's getting rave reviews but I have no idea how much of that is hype. I have an early draft this year, so I'm interested if he's slated to start the year with the team or not. For position players I'm very wary of Dusty, but he doesn't seem to have a prob...

Black Sox

I use CBS for my sites. I'm trying ESPN alerts right now. Got me the J.Nathen info aprox 2 min before it posted on CBS. I know it sounds silly, but this guy just killed me on this stuff last year and since his strategy was similar to mine, we were constantly after the same players. I lost out on F.R...

Black Sox

In the leagues I play in once a player clears waivers, they can be picked up anytime by simply dropping someone to make room if needed. Because I speculate so much on saves, when switches/injury's occur it's normally fastest to the computer wins. Last year I was constantly beat by a team whenever im...

Black Sox

We now have proof the Jason Heyward IS human The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports that Braves OF Jason Heyward will sit Wednesday with a sore back sustained after hitting the outfield wall while trying to jump for a homer on Tuesday. The injury isn't of the serious variety. I bet the wall is in ...

Black Sox

Agree completley Dean, I'm targeting him in the 17th round in my mix leagues. As for Strasberg, K.Towers former SD GM is quoted as saying that Strasberg is the greatest pitching prospect he's EVER seen. For his sake I hope he stay's in the minors and is not rushed, I think the Nat's are doing it the...

Black Sox

as a fan of baseball, I want to see him up. From a fantasy perspective, I won't have him. He is going at points in drafts that I am not interested in him. He goes way above MB projections and I haven't determined how far above. He is a good example for Todd's latest SI column. I thought in Tig's dr...

Black Sox

I think the kid is great and all, but I will let someone else take the chance before a ton of proven talent....last week in a 20 team league I am in(most are veterens), he was taken 6th round....ahead of these OF's....Kubel, McClouth, Soriano, Bourn, Hawpe....just to name a few....Personally, I wou...

Black Sox

You also need a 1B

, in my humble opinion Atkins is toast. Otherwise I don't mind how you built your team, you might regret not getting a SP anchor but I have no idea who your #1 will end up being. Good Luck.

Black Sox

I too have learned a lot from Viper as to Tier construction, but like Allston, mine differ too. I only draft and don't do auctions by my Tier sheets are set up as follows... 1. Rank C 1b 2B SS 3b OF DH SP RP and include MB $$ figures. I want to know during a draft how many SS or 2B have been taken a...

Black Sox

Tig, Welcome to the Heyward bandwagon, it's gonna get crowded! Love your OF hope your IF fares as well! Kinda figured he'd be gone, the later and later in spring training, the more and more people are gonna jump and take him, and the less and less value he'll return on that investment I drafted a te...

Black Sox

From P.Gammons article on MLB.com The question put to the Braves' Jason Heyward was whether being the new "new" thing of the 2010 season was at all uncomfortable -- with his veteran teammates or his fellow Minor Leaguers or his manager, Bobby Cox. Or with comparisons, as the phenom has bee...

Black Sox

great point Todd, and your probably right on the HR, I guess the reason I feel more comfortable is #1 His incredible batting eye, from what I've heard he has pro AB's fight's off the tough one's and drives the others #2 The amount of poor pitching. I think he'll hold his own against the good/great o...

Black Sox

That's a little early, but I'm not positive he'll still be there. In my ranks that's right around Rivera, Gutierrez, Cameron, Wells. If that's the case I'd maybe hedge on J.Rivera but I wouldn't fault you either for taking Heyward. Keep in mind I'm normally someone who won't draft rookies except for...

Black Sox

Opinion: Is it Guerrier or Rauch? This is why I hate/love having to troll for saves. Love the fact I can leave a draft without them, and still finish well, hate the guess work and always having to make tough decisions about my bench. I went with Guerrier and with only 6 man benches I really can't af...

Black Sox

From Roto World: Jason Heyward (Braves) - OK, who didn't see this one coming? Heyward isn't actually a sleeper anymore. He may be approaching the point at which he's a mid-round pick in mixed leagues. He's an awfully dangerous selection at that price -- the Braves have some big financial incentives ...

Black Sox

I've decided to play in more leagues than I normally do ( 8-10 from my normal 3-4). Figure I do all this research before hand why not put it to good use. However even as I keep up on the transactions in my leagues before the season start, I can start to see how this is could be a problem once the se...

Black Sox

Unfortunately, baseball is a business. I fully expect the Braves to demote Heyward on last day of spring training and keep him down the Braves can keep him for one more year before he becomes a free agent. This is the same thing that happened to Hanson, Braun and Longoria. Your correct JP, but ther...

Black Sox

Same Buzz as last season with Strasburg and Dukes...... :P Again I disagree, Strasburg didn't sign till what July or Aug can't remember. As far as Dukes, I think the projected numbers for him last year are what I think Heyward will do, but everyone knew the risk with Dukes was his attitude and off ...

Black Sox

I would say for every Andrew Jones at age 20, there is 5 other projected guys that never produce. Sure if you can get him at a good price, go for it, but I would say 8 out of 10 times, 5-10 players taken AFTER Heywood, will have a better season. I keep hearing how the Braves need outfielders....Her...

Black Sox

I can understand enthusiasm ... I think he's capable of great things. I would temper my judgment by pointing out two things: Wait until he gets a steady dose of the yakker - then we'll see. Anyone remember an eerily similar situation with the Braves OF last year? And Schafer seems to have disappear...

Black Sox

Unless you've stopped paying attention, everyone in baseball is talking about this kid, and for me I'm buying the hype. For me this kid represents what Delmon Young should have been. I saw Mastersball projection which without much data it's more than fair. However I'm betting he outproduces the proj...

Black Sox

There are rumors he might go to the Yankee's as a part time DH, I'm pretty sure in the time it took me to write this N.Johnson pulled something.

Black Sox

1.Pujols, Albert - nuff said 2.Fielder, Prince - he's Howard with BA 3.Cabrera, Miguel - Complete hitter, will improve with better AL knowledge 4.Howard, Ryan - HR/RBI Machine but volatile BA 5.Teixeira, Mark - Last first tier stud 6.Votto, Joey - I'm drinking the kool aid, breakout is coming 7.Gonz...

Black Sox

1. J.Mauer - being WAY overdrafted!!! If that power reverts and a few LD don't fall you've vastly overpaid 2. V.Mart - Ellsberry Pedrioa V Mart Youk - Ohhh yahhh 3. B.McCann - amazing what being able to see the ball does for your numbers 4. M.Weiters - At this point I'll take the upside because the ...

Black Sox

Viper,

Just wondering how if at all the % of hitters vs pitchers would change in a 10 team mix league. In my $$ draft's I've noticed many teams what I consider overdrafting P. It's something that has surprised me, and I've had to adjust for it.

Black Sox

Todd, Just wanted to give thanks to Todd's recent article on Shallow vs Deep and Auction vs Snake. With the creation of the NFBC, I really feel that too many people have looked down on shallow mixed leagues as not requiring a whole lot of skill. Many friends make comments like " how hard is it ...

Black Sox

Viper is probably the one to ask, but the tier sheets are similar, you just want to not only divide the positions into tiers, but also have some type of way of marking where a player is greater than the statistical benchmarks you set ( ie - I want to quickly id any player who stole 20+ bases or 25+ ...

Black Sox

CAN'T WAIT!!!! You turned me on to Billingsly and Kershaw last year, always some great info!

Black Sox

I voted for entertainment purposes. I have some personal experiance with this. I used S.T.A.R.T. last year during my drafts and it didn't work for me, for a number of reasons. Mostly I spent too much time entering picks and looking at how those picks affected the standings. That was time better spen...

Black Sox

I know thw Twins just picked up thome, but Delmon Young might make some noise this year.. No offense whammer but D.Young is fools gold each and every year. Tampa bay fleeced Min in that trade. Young's many problems include an inability to learn the strike zone and a ground ball % of 50%, oh and he'...

Black Sox

Part of this is my fault for poorly wording my subject and first post. Maybe I can explain a little better and get this thread on the right track.... I have a lot of respect for the playing skill of the many people on this site. Shandler had an excellent blub in the forecaster this year saying in es...

Black Sox

Wrigley wrote:Todd,

Sounds like he's looking for sleepers

Not sleepers in the true sense. I want to know who people are going with their gut and taking a stand on to outperform what most people think.

Black Sox

I'm asking the question because everyone having done there research has a player or players they just belive in, as an example Shandler is big on C.Ruiz ( stat's don't exactly back up his prediction but you tell it's mixed with his opinion ) Just wondering who that player is for others. For me perso...

Black Sox

Looking for people's opinion on who they think are going to outperform their current late round status and really breakout. Just looking for people's gut instinct ( not that B.Butler will hit 30 HR since he hit 52 doubles ) players that are going late or undrafted that will make a real impact before...

Black Sox

As a professional portfolio manager, I am trying to acquire the greatest intrinsic value that I can when buying stocks while paying the lowest possible price in market value; same thing we're all trying to do in fantasy baseball. But if you are referring to both intrinsic value and market value as ...

Black Sox

Oh by the way your mythical 50 SB C also is a leadoff hitter who bats .150 with 700 + PA , and makes A.Dunn look like a high BA guy :o Now how valuable are those 50 SB? At the end of the day the standings are what they are, it doesn't matter where or how you obtain your stats, it's where you finish!

Black Sox

Guess I didn't understand the question, if were talking similar player then I want the proven player 9/10 times ( unless it's a bench player and then I want the upside). The 1 time is when I feel strongly about a paticular player ( m.kemp was one for me last year )

Black Sox

I took Yes. I do think you need to balance your safe picks with taking some calculated risks. Now I'm not taking S.Drew in the 2nd round ( :o couldn't resist ) but if you don't create value for yourself winning becomes harder. But I will say what some consider a risk others feel is a safe play. One ...

Black Sox

The stolen bases don't know where they come from

Everyone know's on the surface that those stats coming from a catcher are very rare, whether you get them from a catcher or an OF does not matter at the end of the day, they all count the same.

Black Sox

I've been seeing the same thing, I understand Todd's point about the fact that you need to get pitching and while the hitter value might be great, you'll be up the creek if you don't react at some point. In the free 10 team league I just drafted 10 SP went in the first 5 rounds, which is a ton! I wa...

Black Sox

I figured it out

Black Sox

Does someone have the instructions to the draft worksheet. Instruction file is not included in the zip and since I've never used it before I'm having trouble using it.

Thanks

Black Sox

Thanks again for the help. I guess sometimes I do these exercises just to try to look at things from a different perspective. Kinda like when you read the same golf tip for a few different people, the information is always the same, it's just the presentation that changes. I wanted to know, if you'l...

Black Sox

Todd, I understand your point about why I shouldn't care, but thank you for taking the time to do it. Question - Are the setting for ERA/Whip left at 1 ? As for hitting did you leave those settings on the deafault? Semi - related question - Do you think the defaults on BA/ERA/Whip need to be changed...

Black Sox

Todd,

You stated in your last blog how you worked hard to improve your drafting skills and it's something you feel you've succesfully improved. How did you go about improving, any tips you can provide on how to improve?

Thanks

Black Sox

If I had to answer I would say $24 - $20 for the top few closers then steadily down from there. What I'm trying to do is after running both the hitters and pitchers combining them into one list 1-230 and breaking it into rounds of 10 players, to help establish pockets of value. I feel the CVRC does ...

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