Mastersball Fantasy Forum

50 games reflects the minimum paternity stay, which is probably light.

That said, throw any Trout projection out the window. Each drafter needs to make their own decision.

Your team, your call.

Personally, I'm avoiding Trout - the risk is too steep.

I've worked out the schedule adjustments (park factors, strength of opposition) and have incorporated them into the engine. I'm going through playing time now. NO PROMISES - but there could be an update Wednesday or Thursday.

Nick Markakis opting out.

I already have Austin Riley for significant playing time (others will likely peg Riley as a gainer). I'm giving more AB to Ender Inciarte, Johan Camargo and Adam Duvall.

re: Price - not 100% sure it's all Stripling. Dustin May and Tony Gonsolin could work into the mix. Also, I'm not going to worry about players on other teams, and I'm also not going to adjust save chances.

In full disclosure, as a freelancer, one of the companies I work for is Rotowire, but regardless, they are the industry standard. It's a pay site, but well worth the cost. There's a 10-day free trial (no credit card needed, so you aren't automatically subscribed after a week). https://t.co/etqMMxlT3...

As always, projections will be updated once a week, usually Friday afternoon, occasionally earlier (usually due to travel, which I obviously won't be doing.)

Combined rankings depend on the hitter/pitcher split. The NFBC prices are intended for the auctions. I'd try ranking by the 15-team mixed prices and if that doesn't look like you want, you'll need to play with the CVRCs, altering the hitting/pitching split. If pitchers are still too high using 15MIX...

There is no ideal. Your plan needs to be fashioned around your strategy.

For the sake of answering

7 SP active
2 CL active

2 SP on reserve
1 MR on reserve, to float in when the 7th SP just is terrible

To be honest, everything is different this season and your plan should revolve around how you feel teams will handle pitching, especially early on. If you're playing in the 2020 Main Event, I strongly urge you to take the time to read the six part Winning Tendencies series and formulate the strategy...

FWIW, I'm not in the wanting fantasy to mimic real baseball camp so I'm fine with standard 5x5, though do prefer OBP over average and innings pitched over wins.

That said, this category makes no sense to me. Using batting average and net steals plus walks instead of steals is ok too.

Opinion on the overall notion of changing stats or the inane, insipid, nonsensical, myopic, impractical Total Bases plus SB less (HR*4)?

Keeper league or 2020 only? If 2020 only, I wouldn't do anything until more is known about the season/schedule.

That said, I'd look to drop Eaton or Braun for a 2B eligible player so you have all the spots covered.

Maybe find a Strat board or Reddit group to ask.

Career splits are available on baseball-reference but not year by year.

This is for the new NFBC Online Auction Championship, 15-team mixed with seven reserves. In part due to the exorbitant prices, but also considering how the season may play out, I eschewed the top hitters and pitchers, opting to be better than the rest at the bottom end of the roster while pounding t...

C Realmuto 24/D Nunez 1 CI Lamb 3/Moran 3/Droobs 7 MI Castro 13/Berti 12/Kipnis 1 OF Blackmon 28/S Marte 30/Ozuna 24/Calhoun 14 UT/SW: Dickerson 7/Locastro 1 SP Woodruff 21/SGray 19/C-Mart 13/DeSclafani 7/Houser 8/MKelly 1 RP Yates 18/Kintzler 5/Ginkel 1 RES: Cal Quantrill/Ryon Healy/Brock Holt/Dani...

Not a problem for me, your team, your call. In a league this shallow, you'll find good talent for each spot.

Biggio and Laureano for me.

Chefb2020 wrote: ↑March 10th, 2020, 10:02 pm Should I deal Verlander for Luis Robert?

In a keep perpetually league, I'd jump all over that.

Your team, your call, but at 37, how many years can you count on in a keep forever league? Giolito is a reasonable replacement.

There are no contracts or salaries in this league and it’s mixed year to year. Some years there’s 6 or 7 picks before the official 1st round (after keepers). I believe there will probably be at least 4 or 5 this season. My other keeper options are Sean Manea, Nomar Mazara and Dee Gordon. Not clear ...

Do most keep their best five ad infinitum? No contacts, salaries, etc?

Who are the next best possible keepers on your team?

Most return is too general to get the best answer. Most immediate return? Most return over the course of the fantasy contract?

Is Rutschman available?

Dominguez is probably the highest ceiling, with Vaughn the most stable floor. Downs could help as soon as mid-season.

My numbers are expected earnings in relation to the draft-worthy pool. What the market is willing to pay is completely different. I've been preaching valuation is flawed. Prices should be looked at in a relative, not absolute basis. It's not pay $20 for X and $18 for Y, it's X should help your team ...

I'll let Perry address the question from a talent angle, I'll approach from a game theory perspective.

What do you want out of your minor league players...

Help to win this season?
Long term cheap talent for down the road?
A trade chip?
Something else?

The ranking list pulls off the hitter and pitcher tabs so the points are being calculated. The individual hitters and pitchers tabs need to be sorted manually. I'm not proficient in Mac Excel, but even on a PC, it's not automatic.

Really supposed to save this for Baseball Weekly but...

In retrospect, though I like the price on Vazquez, I could have spend down a little at catcher and improved KSmith, Tellez and Petit.

I have to save the good stuff for Baseball Weekly but Cesar Hernandez, the 3-M starting pitchers and Civale are my favorites. Canning is not a lost cause - it was strategic. LABR is old school - can't reserve a player bought in the auction or acquired via FAAB unless they're on the IL/minors. Howeve...

C Vazquez 13, KSmith 1 CI Abreu 24, Moncada 24, Tellez 5 MI Biggio 21, Peraza 8, CHernandez 11 O Martinez 35, Verdugo 11, VReyes 9, Piscotty 5, Reddick 1 U Solak 11 SP Montas 16, Minor 15, Manaea 15, Civale 8, Canning 3 RP Leclerc 11, Colome 9, Green 3, Petit 1 RES: M Perez, M King, T Demeritte, LCe...

my top 5 in 12 team OBP are Trout Yelich/Acuna Soto Bellinger Fantasy circles are absolutely talking about Yelich's HR/FB -- his average exit velocity on fly balls is insane. He may see some regression, but Yelich's HR/FB skills are real. Bottom line is if you want Soto, take him. If Yelich is anywh...

Probably not the answer you want to see, but valuation doesn't work that way. There isn't a one-size-fits-all points system. How much stats are worth depend upon the size of the league and the number of roster spots. Replacement has to be factored in and the stats is given a price based on it's cont...

There are two different considerations. 1. What does the league historically do? 2. What do you want to do? I know this isn't want you asked, but one of the bigger auction mistakes is wanting to use a split different than the league norm and setting prices with that split. The proper way is setting ...

Draft like you would a real baseball team -- on base and defense matter. Don't ignore pitching, it's not like roto where you can "manage" it. Don't sweat an MLB "closer". You want a reliever with good stats. After you draft your foundation of every day players and the pool thins,...

How is it scored, winning the most categories gets the win (1-0 for the week) or do you get a point for each category win, so if you win none categories, you are 9-4 for the week?

Assuming Mixed?

Catchers - 12
Outfielders - 120

There's so much position flexibility in today's game, so you only need two pools - catcher and non-catcher. This is the default setup. If you're in a one-catcher league, we'll need to tweak, but assuming two, we're set. As such, OF is set to represent the number of non-catchers needed, regardless of...

Personally prefer Turner. In 2015 and 2016, he played the entire season, some was in the minors. In 2017 and 2019, he was out via HBP, last year on a bunt. Your team, your call.

Welcome aboard! What is said, especially in terms of batting order and what happens over a 162 game season are not always the same. i prefer to evaluate based on a player's talent first. Batting order is important, but not more so than skills. The best managers manage to the teams strengths and away...

Travis Demeritte is a great pick in the 50th. Hits the ball hard, has power but strikes out a ton. The Tigers have nothing to lose giving him a chance, he could even start. Nick Martini has bounced around, calling card is on base skills but they've really yet to manifest at the MLB level. No pop, so...

Absolutely. I address this in Soroka's profile.

Soroka is 22, will turn 23 in August. If the Braves didn't take it easy on him last year, why would they do so this season?

Go to the Pitchers tab. In Cell P2, type =2*F2+O2 Left-click onto the cell, hold and drag down through the data Release and hit CTRL-D at the same time. Highlight column P by clicking on the P While it is highlighted, right-click on the P and choose COPY Right-click on the F and choose PASTE SPECIAL...

I'm usually a whatever floats your boat, just tell me the rules and I'll figure it out sort of guy, but bonuses for flukes (cycle, no-hitter, perfect game, etc.) are just silly. Should a week really be decided on a fluke? The player already piled up the points via the performance already. As for the...

Okay, so a true dynasty. Keeper and dynasty are often juxtaposed. For me, the most important element is doing research on the player pool, both MLB and MilB and not worrying so much about massaging projections and/or bringing them out five years. Too much can happen. Maybe I say that because I haven...

What are the rules with respect to number of keepers, time limits, etc?

H+BB+HBP replace hits

AB+BB+HBP+SF replaces AB

Depending on hos adventurous, and patient you are, the best approach would be the old-fashioned way, setting up a spreadsheet by hand and following the essay https://www.mastersball.com/free/PlayerValuation.pdf. It will likely take several hours to do both the hitting and pitching for the first time...

Do a search on pizza cutter russell carleton stabilization points

It's all about sample size. The Holy Grail is knowing when a new skill can be considered real and not noise. The predictive/descriptive has spread in the lexicon since the introduction of Statcast data. The hope is since the data is more granular and in many cases, objectively determined, it is more...

Strategy for Points Leagues - February 14
Points Leagues Pointers - February 22

all set

I'll reactivate anything I see related to points and pop back here when it's done.

Well that's not good.

I'll figure out why they're gone and make sure they're back for tomorrow's update.

Gotcha - best thing to do, if you want to go down this path, is try to set up the 6x6 spreadsheet and see what happens. When you're stuck, send me the sheet and I can reverse engineer.

Just be warned, come March, I likely won't have the time to really spend on it.

That piece described the concepts, it doesn't detail the methodology.

This is what you want if you want to run values on your own (it's not easy)

http://mastersball.com/products/PlayerValuation.pdf

What format league are you trying to do? The CVRCs are programmed to do PVM.

Screw it, it's fixed. I'd have Excel dreams if I didn't take care of it.

Hello, I'm using START to track an NFBC D&H league that is drafting now. After I had built up a good bit of entries (at about round 22) I decided to check the standings calculations to see if they made sense. I took the projections in START for Hitters who have been drafted and calculated a piv...

Flip a three-headed coin with Workman, Melancon and Bradley.

I don't have one.

Several Oakland pitchers could return from injury.

Teams tend to back off innings from their better young arms come September.

Tough to eyeball non-standard categories, especially anything with fielding. Is it keep forever? Assuming it is, 1. I'm not keeping ANY closer. Even with blown saves, saves are very much devalued in this format 2. Not keeping any catchers in a 1 catcher, 10 team league 3. I like Sale, Bieber, Paddac...

I have no inside sources and follow the same reports you do. It seems likely Anderson will be activated but there's no reason for the White Sox to announce anything until Tuesday. Your choice depends on lineup lock etc.

Can't say yes or no, just too much stuff affecting the decision. Does the deal help you win this season? Is Machado a keeper? What sort of player is likely available with the first round pick? If Machado improves chances to win this season, is that worth the downgrade of picks, ostensibly hurting ch...

Belt is at least playing and getting on base. Of the two, Franco seems less useful. Your team, your call.

Everything Marte is doing is fully supported by the underlying metrics, so there isn't any regression due in the classical sense (good luck regressing to the mean), That said, it's obviously unclear whether he can maintain this pace all season. Benintendi is the same guy, just performing at the lowe...

Can't say yes or no -- too contextual to league rules and how you manage the team. Points are straightforward since you're not balancing categories. The math is the points you think you get from the batter(s) replacing Blackmon versus Blackmon and compare that against the points you get from Perez a...

In a keep forever dynasty league, I'd jump all over this. There's a good chance Yelich and Acuna are close to a wash for most of the next several years.

Not going to tell you not to do it. if you think it helps, go for it.

I'm a Yandy Diaz believer so would likely leave Aguilar where he is, though I wouldn't hesitate to drop Kimbrel if I needed the spot.

It comes down to how you feel about Kershaw. It's one thing to say in a vacuum, "if you're dealing Harper, get a better pitcher back", but that's easier said than done in a climate with so many aces hurt or struggling. Kershaw is a risk, especially in H2H if he's out during the playoffs. H...

Pure numbers, you'll need about 480 PA from Astudillo to break even. That seems steep to me. Game theory-wise, Realmuto is GOLD in daily moves since you want to get as close to the 180 games as possible and he plays a TON. Using Astudillo, or almost any other catcher, requires high maintenance with ...

Weekly or daily moves?

I doubt it, but perhaps. Mac or PC?

It must be too old a version, though I don't know what function is incompatible.

honestly not sure, what version are you using and what is/is not happening?

The skills have always been there. Health, consistency and the fact the Cardinals always have other options have gotten in the way of Wong concreting his role. So yeah, it's definitely possible. It'd be better if he was hitting higher in the order, but maybe that'll come.

The Rotowire rankings are formulaic. Most often I'll go by the rankings, but sometimes it's needs driven.

As for Gausman/Chacin, I'd go with the Rotowire rankings, your team, your call.

H2H or season-long? If not H2H, it's far too early to start managing categories, pick the player in the best spot for the week. If it's tied, then maybe break it with categories.

Probably Smith, but your team, your call.

There isn't a one-size-fits-all answer, it's contextual. Depends on league format, scoring, size of reserves, # IL spots, frequency of moves, needs, etc.

Usually, in 5x5 leagues, innings minimums are cosmetic. In mixed leagues, teams will amass 1100-1400 IP. There's no way to compete in W and K without being in that range. You can design a strategy to punt W/K, making sure you have saves and low ratios then using the extra assets on hitting to crush ...

Not sure if it's a strategy, I put my best 9 pitchers out every week, looking to the free agent pool to upgrade one of my spots. i don't know if this is what you're looking for, but it's something I recently wrote for ESPN. http://www.espn.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/id/26334182/fantasy-baseball-ho...

Not a huge fan of two aces, hurts hitting and pitching can still be managed. Your team, you call -- really depends on who you can get as a bat at #2 and arm at #6.

I'm personally not a fan or Freeland, he'd be my choice. That said, Hudson's low strikeout total not only hurts in points formats, it makes him susceptible to poor outings. To be honest, I'd stick with Freeland, at least early as his schedule isn't bad. Your team, your call.

Personally prefer Arcia -- more job security.

There's no definitive answer. Drafting catchers is a personal choice. Some want good ones, others prefer to wait - and everything in between.

FWIW-- I'm a CWRU graduate, with a soft spot for Cleveland.

Understood -- just saying my opinion is you're overthinking. Spend time learning the player pool and not worrying about standings. My saying for this is "Win the league, not the draft." Trust me, everyone in the league is going to hit their targets and say they're at the top of the standin...

You're making it too complicated. Pick the most productive players. You have 26 weeks to manage categories.

It's really not a black/white answer. The recent trend is to push pitching early and often. My advice is map out a couple of different target pitching staffs -- don't need to be exact with names -- one from these three, one from these four, etc. Then, follow the flow and pick pitching to get the tar...

Despite his age, Verlander is showing no signs of decline. Those that like to be off a player one year too early rather than one year too late are likely going to be off a couple years too early.

I used to use 69/31 and play it by ear. It's cosmetic, not real. Adjusting to the flow is far more important.

Todd Zola wrote: ↑March 17th, 2019, 6:02 pm The NFBC AL/NL may tilt a little more to pitching, at least at the top end, but it won't be as extreme as the 62/38 mixed auctions.

The NFBC AL/NL may tilt a little more to pitching, at least at the to end, but it won't be as extreme as the 62/38 mixed auctions.

only matters what you think

Long term rebuild where you keep at least eight players, I want Mize -- you need pitching in Scoresheet and it's so hard to come by.

Else, Kikuchi.

Depending on the discount, yes.

infiniteloop wrote: ↑March 14th, 2019, 5:06 pm my annual question: Any update on the 2019 Hook prospect list?

You mean the one that's been posted for a couple weeks?

Either the file was corrupted or something else happened which I can't explain. 1. Please e-mail me the CVRC with the multiple Trouts in the value page as is. 2. Please d/l a new Hit CVRC and try again. It's 1:45 on the East Coast, I'm calling it a night at 2 AM but will check back in the morning if...

It will be now

Yes, exactly.

I'm off Astudillo. He's "catching" a break with Sano being out, otherwise I just don't see much playing time. Sure, enough for AL only, but not mixers and he's being drafted as C2 in mixers. To be honest, there just aren't any catchers in the AL with that description. MAYBE Sean Murphy but...

Thanks, on the road and having issues with my programs, should be corrected next time.

Search found 4226 matches