Search found 4226 matches

by Todd Zola
March 6th, 2021, 9:59 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Unable to post to Platinum
Replies: 5
Views: 791

Re: Unable to post to Platinum

We're close to an upgrade where the forum issue will be fixed but I can get you access. As for Valdez, I zeroed him out, if it turns out he'll be able to pitch this season, I will add him back.
by Todd Zola
March 6th, 2021, 8:18 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Mid draft adjustments
Replies: 14
Views: 4491

Re: Mid draft adjustments

onejayhawk wrote: March 6th, 2021, 7:25 pm

Are Puig and Osuna going to play this year?
No idea, your guess is as good as mine.
by Todd Zola
March 6th, 2021, 5:01 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Mid draft adjustments
Replies: 14
Views: 4491

Re: Mid draft adjustments

Sources of holds will emerge. So will starters, but I'd rather throw my darts at starters and hope one hits bullseye. Of the list, Kikuchi and Keller stand out to me, your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
March 6th, 2021, 4:59 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: 2021 Team Defense
Replies: 5
Views: 9927

Re: 2021 Team Defense

I don't quantify this sort of thing. Any observation is anecdotal.
by Todd Zola
March 5th, 2021, 2:17 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Mid draft adjustments
Replies: 14
Views: 4491

Re: Mid draft adjustments

I'd look for another SP2 for next season - Canning hasn't been able to stay healthy.

You know what Cabrera and Votto are - if that's good enough to compete, may as well play it safe. If you need more, Lowe is a risk/reward type as Texas has other options.
by Todd Zola
March 4th, 2021, 2:33 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Mid draft adjustments
Replies: 14
Views: 4491

Re: Mid draft adjustments

Since you have Franco, I'd think about Willy Adames. If you need speed, it sure looks like Myles Straw will get the nod, especially with Jackie Bradley Jr. off the market.
by Todd Zola
March 4th, 2021, 2:24 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: 2021 Team Defense
Replies: 5
Views: 9927

Re: 2021 Team Defense

Can't think of anyone off the top of my head.
by Todd Zola
March 2nd, 2021, 11:09 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Building a pitching staff
Replies: 3
Views: 634

Re: Building a pitching staff

Depending how I addressed saves, I may stash a speculative closer, but in a 12-team league, I do my best to have seven starters every week. It takes some planning, and being willing to occasionally drop a seemingly decent starter, but I consider the free agent inventory as my eighth reserve. In fact...
by Todd Zola
March 2nd, 2021, 10:31 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Building a pitching staff
Replies: 3
Views: 634

Re: Building a pitching staff

Those are projected earnings in a vacuum. The ratio protection relievers afford balances points lost in wins and strikeouts. The problem is conventional valuation assumes everyone with a positive number is active all season - and in most leagues, this isn't the case. Pitchers are streamed into the l...
by Todd Zola
March 2nd, 2021, 4:07 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Austin Hays
Replies: 2
Views: 610

Re: Austin Hays

Yes, they're my projections...

There was some recent coach speak suggesting Hays and Cedric Mullins are battling for playing time. Man, I hope that drops Hays' price even more.
by Todd Zola
February 28th, 2021, 2:11 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: Suggestion for tool to use for snake draft
Replies: 2
Views: 1952

Re: Suggestion for tool to use for snake draft

Assuming you mean Platinum tools, I have newly posted colored ranking tiers some like to use and Google Sheet Draft Trackers which may be tough to use in a real-time draft but are great for extended/email type drafts. Demo: http://mastersball.com/free/MBDraftTracker.mp4 If you want the 12 or 15 team...
by Todd Zola
February 28th, 2021, 1:29 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: 2021 Team Defense
Replies: 5
Views: 9927

Re: 2021 Team Defense

Mets - though still a work in progress but Lindor over Rosario is a good start

Twins with Andrelton Simmons and moving Polanco to 2B, plus (hopefully) a healthy Buxton is great up the middle

Brewers better with Kolten Wong
by Todd Zola
February 27th, 2021, 5:23 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Mid draft adjustments
Replies: 14
Views: 4491

Re: Mid draft adjustments

Wendle has to be first to cover SS

Then Votto, Lowe and La Stella with an eye on covering Lux.
by Todd Zola
February 26th, 2021, 8:04 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Mid draft adjustments
Replies: 14
Views: 4491

Re: Mid draft adjustments

Happy to opine on players of interest. No clue who will be available.
by Todd Zola
February 25th, 2021, 9:15 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: 10 team auction
Replies: 5
Views: 3897

Re: 10 team auction

yes, but need to make all hitters as al guys
by Todd Zola
February 25th, 2021, 8:50 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: 10 team auction
Replies: 5
Views: 3897

Re: 10 team auction

Absolutely huge stars and scrubs. Essentially throw the CVRC out the window-- well, it's OK for relative rankings -- this guy is better than that guy. Pitchers -- just make it 10 teams -- don't worry about the designations Hitting -- 10 teams -- 10 catchers and 120 outfielders however... (this is co...
by Todd Zola
February 23rd, 2021, 4:28 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: First Auction Ever last night NFBC $150
Replies: 1
Views: 3707

Re: First Auction Ever last night NFBC $150

Auction prices will do that. You need to spend up top -- playing the middle game is risky. Someone will always have some funds left to drive up those prices too.

For a first time, this looks fine. Looks like you adjusted to the prices. Saves are short, but you know that.
by Todd Zola
February 22nd, 2021, 11:56 pm
Forum: The Commissioner's Office
Topic: Question on Roster size for 12 team league
Replies: 3
Views: 5745

Re: Question on Roster size for 12 team league

Standard in roto is just 9 pitchers
by Todd Zola
February 22nd, 2021, 10:57 pm
Forum: The Commissioner's Office
Topic: Question on Roster size for 12 team league
Replies: 3
Views: 5745

Re: Question on Roster size for 12 team league

Honestly, the ideal size is what everyone in the league enjoys the most. As they say, if it ain't broke... I guess I favor the standard 14 H, 9 P setup. In deeper leagues, I like using only 4 OF and making the spot UT/P, but not every commissioner service can handle that. If it's a new league, I don...
by Todd Zola
February 22nd, 2021, 6:56 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: 12-team mixed keepers
Replies: 7
Views: 4178

Re: 12-team mixed keepers

You probably have to wait until Cron make the team and see if his role is worthy of 12-team mixed. If he starts, tough call, a 2-for-1 deal would be nice.

When is the deadline?
by Todd Zola
February 13th, 2021, 11:56 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Amed Rosario
Replies: 6
Views: 1003

Re: Amed Rosario

I thought he didn't run last year because his career SB% is 66.7 and they wanted to install stop signs on the base paths for him. This piece suggests the opposite. It seems odd they didn't even try to see if the training was successful. https://www.newsday.com/sports/baseball/mets/mets-yankees-amed...
by Todd Zola
February 13th, 2021, 2:27 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Offer for Darvish
Replies: 6
Views: 4115

Re: Offer for Darvish

I don't like the word value, but there is certainly profit potential in that range.
by Todd Zola
February 12th, 2021, 10:59 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Offer for Darvish
Replies: 6
Views: 4115

Re: Offer for Darvish

Urquidy could be the best of the lot.
by Todd Zola
February 11th, 2021, 7:40 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Articles
Topic: Park Factors/Influence on Player Stats
Replies: 1
Views: 2527

Re: Park Factors/Influence on Player Stats

viewtopic.php?f=36&p=45024#p45024

A larger outfield doesn't affect strikeouts, just hits. Strikeouts (and walks) can be influenced by foul territory, batter's eye, atmospheric conditions altering ball movement -- stuff like that.
by Todd Zola
February 10th, 2021, 9:40 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Offer for Darvish
Replies: 6
Views: 4115

Re: Offer for Darvish

Trades are so contextual, league dependent so I leave the decision to the team manager. If the question is more along the lines of is it fair in a vacuum and not so much should I do this, sure, absolutely.
by Todd Zola
February 9th, 2021, 1:23 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: 12-team mixed keepers
Replies: 7
Views: 4178

Re: 12-team mixed keepers

In this format, Harper is a no-brainer, I also like Ramirez since inflation in 12 mix is usually goofy.

OK with Torres at that price, but could also let him go and see what else I can get at that spot.
by Todd Zola
February 6th, 2021, 3:10 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Missed this place!
Replies: 8
Views: 4951

Re: Missed this place!

Holy cow! It's quiet here, but I recently took over the Rotojunkies forum where it's busier.
by Todd Zola
February 4th, 2021, 5:31 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

Re: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

1.10 Trevor Story 2.21 Lucas Giolito 3.40 Anthony Rendon 4.51 Eloy Jimenez 5.70 Kyle Hendricks 6.81 Zack Wheeler 7.100 Will Smith (C) 8.111 Paul Goldschmidt 9.130 Tommy Edman 10.141 Christian Vazquez 11.160 Rhys Hoskins 12.171. Will Smith (P) 13.190 Adam Ottavino 14.201 Austin Hays 15.220 Sean Manae...
by Todd Zola
February 4th, 2021, 5:23 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

Re: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

I need to refresh the picks, we're in Round 37. I just tweeted the following: Observation based on drafting a sample of one 15-team, 50 round Draft and Hold League -- middle infield is crazy strong in the first 20 rounds (or so) then falls off the cliff (relative to corner infield and outfield) for ...
by Todd Zola
February 2nd, 2021, 3:56 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

Re: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

1.10 Trevor Story 2.21 Lucas Giolito 3.40 Anthony Rendon 4.51 Eloy Jimenez 5.70 Kyle Hendricks 6.81 Zack Wheeler 7.100 Will Smith (C) 8.111 Paul Goldschmidt 9.130 Tommy Edman 10.141 Christian Vazquez 11.160 Rhys Hoskins 12.171. Will Smith (P) 13.190 Adam Ottavino 14.201 Austin Hays 15.220 Sean Manae...
by Todd Zola
January 31st, 2021, 4:54 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: How does this look going into the draft?
Replies: 12
Views: 4790

Re: How does this look going into the draft?

if it means having to toss back Devers and Hendriks after 2022 but the other team can keep Yelich in perpetuity, I'll bet on the Yelich bounceback, but I can see the case for Devers and Hendriks to win this (or next) season.
by Todd Zola
January 27th, 2021, 4:38 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

Re: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

1.10 Trevor Story 2.21 Lucas Giolito 3.40 Anthony Rendon 4.51 Eloy Jimenez 5.70 Kyle Hendricks 6.81 Zack Wheeler I wanted two SP with the last two picks, and this pair was in the target group, but was hoping for different/better selections. Everyone sees the pool differently and/or has a different a...
by Todd Zola
January 27th, 2021, 4:36 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

Re: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

I can't say for certain, but I likely would have chosen Story. That said, I would have haggled over the decision. I immediately send DVR a note thanking him.

I'm confident I would have taken Rendon over Anderson regardless.
by Todd Zola
January 27th, 2021, 11:09 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

Re: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

1.10 Trevor Story 2.21 Lucas Giolito 3.40 Anthony Rendon 4.51 Eloy Jimenez I have Marcell Ozuna ranked worthy of 3.40, but I played chicken with the room and lost. It's fine, teams don't really differentiate from the market until later. Rendon's floor is rock solid while Jimenez has a nice combo of ...
by Todd Zola
January 26th, 2021, 5:33 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft
Replies: 9
Views: 930

First Pitch Arizona Speakers Draft

I think this is our third year doing this, Greg Ambrosius sets up a DC league for some of the First Pitch Arizona speakers. We play it out under standard NFBC 15-team, 50 player rules. I drew 1.10 1.10 Trevor Story 2.21 Lucas Giolito Very happy with Story, wish a different arm made it to 2.21, but I...
by Todd Zola
January 26th, 2021, 8:48 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Dynasty Trading Wander Franco
Replies: 1
Views: 3905

Re: Dynasty Trading Wander Franco

Are the contract extensions $5 per year added on at once? If doesn't change the question, but this is much more keeper than dynasty. In a true dynasty, you keep almost everyone with no accelerating contracts. This is a keeper league with a deep minor league reserve. 1. Your mileage may vary, but I n...
by Todd Zola
January 24th, 2021, 3:17 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Amed Rosario
Replies: 6
Views: 1003

Re: Amed Rosario

There are a couple of things in play here. I'll start with Rosario will have fewer PA next update. I had him batting only leadoff. I needed to account for the chance he hits lower, at least some of the time. That said, Progressive Field is a much better venue for hits than Citi Field. There's a 12% ...
by Todd Zola
January 16th, 2021, 12:47 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: BestBall10_010821.xlsx Add-in Problem
Replies: 6
Views: 6551

Re: BestBall10_010821.xlsx Add-in Problem

To add a little context, the Cutline, BestBall10 and NFBC12 all emanate from the same template. The template has a different "Pick" page customized to the format of that league. The rest of the coding is the same, with slight alterations on the CALC page that adjusts to the number of picks...
by Todd Zola
January 14th, 2021, 1:05 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: BestBall10_010821.xlsx Add-in Problem
Replies: 6
Views: 6551

Re: BestBall10_010821.xlsx Add-in Problem

This is over my head but...

https://www.thespreadsheetguru.com/blog ... ing-add-in

The scientist in me asks if you could try another of the Points Trackers to test if it's an error inherent to the BestBall10 doc or if it's common among all the Points trackers.
by Todd Zola
January 14th, 2021, 12:57 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: BestBall10_010821.xlsx Add-in Problem
Replies: 6
Views: 6551

Re: BestBall10_010821.xlsx Add-in Problem

I'm not a Mac Excel guy, I'll research it but can't promise an answer.
by Todd Zola
January 10th, 2021, 11:54 pm
Forum: Scoresheet and Sim Leagues
Topic: Who to protect from an expansion draft?
Replies: 10
Views: 9112

Re: Who to protect from an expansion draft?

Wow -- so that leaves 2 OF or a 2B and OF, both of which can be handled with a platoon in a SIM, assuming you set a lineup v RHP and another v LHP. The batting order shapes us beautifully, assuming Ketel Marte rebounds. The only weakness is Ozuna's defense since Cruz is locked in at DH. This is gett...
by Todd Zola
January 8th, 2021, 7:02 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: How does this look going into the draft?
Replies: 12
Views: 4790

Re: How does this look going into the draft?

I haven't done a dee dive on Rosario yet but the guaranteed playing time has to help.

The park change should hurt Morton a little, but the age/injury risk is the greater concern. He's a risk/reward type.
by Todd Zola
January 7th, 2021, 1:54 pm
Forum: Scoresheet and Sim Leagues
Topic: Who to protect from an expansion draft?
Replies: 10
Views: 9112

Re: Who to protect from an expansion draft?

OUCH - Semien's glove took a step back last year (-5 DRS after seasons of +12 and +14). Oh well.
by Todd Zola
January 7th, 2021, 1:22 pm
Forum: Scoresheet and Sim Leagues
Topic: Who to protect from an expansion draft?
Replies: 10
Views: 9112

Re: Who to protect from an expansion draft?

Semien is even better as a Sim player, though I don't know how it scores defense.

I'm not down on Santander at all but even so, he's a compiler - very useful but not someone to sweat losing.
by Todd Zola
January 7th, 2021, 10:58 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: How does this look going into the draft?
Replies: 12
Views: 4790

Re: How does this look going into the draft?

onejayhawk wrote: January 7th, 2021, 10:44 am

What's your basic assessment--Balls to the wall, decent chances but not the favorite, stock up for 2022?
Not my thing, too many factors I don't know. Your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
January 7th, 2021, 12:12 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: How does this look going into the draft?
Replies: 12
Views: 4790

Re: How does this look going into the draft?

Ack, meant Kiriloff, not Kelenic, unfortunately not the first (or last) time for that mixup. Re: Yelich, always smart to dangle, but don't settle, if you don't get someone you like, respectfully decline. Personally, I'd need someone in the Nola/Giolito/Buehler/Flaherty/Darvish/Bauer range with Galle...
by Todd Zola
January 6th, 2021, 9:46 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: How does this look going into the draft?
Replies: 12
Views: 4790

Re: How does this look going into the draft?

Thanks. 1. Definitely would deal Kiner-Falefa, prefer Kelenic but your call (obviously). 2. I agree, one of the early picks needs to be on a starting pitcher 3. Personally, I would not freeze France. I don't know if that means you can keep someone else or if it makes sense just to keep him since the...
by Todd Zola
January 6th, 2021, 6:22 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: How does this look going into the draft?
Replies: 12
Views: 4790

Re: How does this look going into the draft?

Are the numbers years remaining with K meaning in perpetuity?

Can you estimate the best SP, 3B and SS available? Just trying to get a lay of the land.
by Todd Zola
January 6th, 2021, 2:18 pm
Forum: Scoresheet and Sim Leagues
Topic: Who to protect from an expansion draft?
Replies: 10
Views: 9112

Re: Who to protect from an expansion draft?

One man's opinion... Contreras will absolutely be taken - I'd decide if you can get someone back in a trade better than your 10th keeper. If so, I'd protect him and make that deal. If you don't think you can get a fair return, my two are Semien and Paddack. If Contreras isn't your first player taken...
by Todd Zola
January 6th, 2021, 1:25 pm
Forum: Scoresheet and Sim Leagues
Topic: Who to protect from an expansion draft?
Replies: 10
Views: 9112

Re: Who to protect from an expansion draft?

I play Strat and Scoresheet but not Diamond Mind. Does defense matter? Are splits a factor? What one or two metrics do you feel are best to evaluate?

For instance, in Scoresheet, defense is a factor, I use OBP for hitters and WHIP for pitchers and splits matter a lot.
by Todd Zola
December 15th, 2020, 5:21 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: Ottoneu - Standard Points
Replies: 5
Views: 2795

Re: Ottoneu - Standard Points

Holds are projected. While replacement and splits are tenets of conventional valuation, I don't feel they're applicable in Ottoneu. Th daily nature of the moves means a good portion of many "projections" are useless. There are several mid to lower end pitchers who will only be used at home...
by Todd Zola
December 15th, 2020, 9:20 am
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: Ottoneu - Standard Points
Replies: 5
Views: 2795

Re: Ottoneu - Standard Points

There problem with "values" in Ottoneu because: 1. The entire roster is purchased under the cap 2. Different teams leave different amounts of wiggle room for adds 3. teams differ in how they'll treat how much they'll pay for everyday hitters 4. Ditto for pitching, especially starters. Off-...
by Todd Zola
December 7th, 2020, 4:15 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 2021 DC Draft Tracker
Replies: 5
Views: 6683

Re: 2021 DC Draft Tracker

Thanks. I generally look at the NFBC ADP every few weeks and add any missing players. I should have time to scrub the list this weekend. Last week was goofy with the non-tenders.
by Todd Zola
December 4th, 2020, 8:11 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 2021 DC Draft Tracker
Replies: 5
Views: 6683

Re: 2021 DC Draft Tracker

Sugano was added to today's update. I just realized I forgot to add Sung Bum Na - I'll add him next week.
by Todd Zola
November 30th, 2020, 9:46 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 2021 DC Draft Tracker
Replies: 5
Views: 6683

Re: 2021 DC Draft Tracker

Thanks for the feedback. The names need to be in the Tracker form to differentiate players with the same name. That said, I could carry over the MLB ID's. As for the other suggestions, I actually already have them all coded, but I wanted to make sure the basic features of the Sheet were battle teste...
by Todd Zola
November 18th, 2020, 4:32 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 2021 Points League Rankings
Replies: 3
Views: 6333

Re: 2021 Points League Rankings

The links at the top direct you to the different sections. Either toggle down so you see the actual link or click the top link and it sends you to the section where all the points league spreadsheets are posted.

SPOILER: I'm in the process of souping up the sheet. I suspect users will like it.
by Todd Zola
November 16th, 2020, 3:00 pm
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: Download Issue
Replies: 1
Views: 6069

Re: Download Issue

Please read the reply in this thread, it's apropos here as well. In the meantime, I'll refresh the CVRC Primer links.

viewtopic.php?f=36&t=8275
by Todd Zola
November 16th, 2020, 1:26 am
Forum: Testing & Troubleshooting
Topic: 2021 Points League Rankings
Replies: 3
Views: 6333

Re: 2021 Points League Rankings

What's happening (or not happening)? It's working for me.
by Todd Zola
November 1st, 2020, 11:18 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Todd Zola Pitching Projections
Replies: 10
Views: 1808

Re: Todd Zola Pitching Projections

Carboshomer wrote: November 1st, 2020, 10:49 amSixto?
Please ask a specific question. Sixto Sanchez is there. Are you asking about his projection? If you can't see him, please use CTRL F to search, thanks.
by Todd Zola
November 1st, 2020, 9:57 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Todd Zola Pitching Projections
Replies: 10
Views: 1808

Re: Todd Zola Pitching Projections

You should adjust playing time how you see fit - that said, it's essentially the two feed into each other. At Price's age and injury history, I don't see the Dodgers forcing a high workload on Price, especially since they're deep enough to cover the missed or shorter starts. The files are now updated.
by Todd Zola
November 1st, 2020, 9:30 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Todd Zola Pitching Projections
Replies: 10
Views: 1808

Re: Todd Zola Pitching Projections

Eduardo Rodriguez is also missing.

127 IP, 9-5, 3.90 ERA, 1.36 WHIP with 129 K
by Todd Zola
November 1st, 2020, 9:11 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Todd Zola Pitching Projections
Replies: 10
Views: 1808

Re: Todd Zola Pitching Projections

Dang it, I was afraid someone would slip through. Let me scrub for others before updating, but Price's line will be

129 IP, 9-5, 4.19 ERA, 1.24 WHIP with 136 K
by Todd Zola
October 31st, 2020, 11:53 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Todd Zola Pitching Projections
Replies: 10
Views: 1808

Re: Todd Zola Pitching Projections

Bauer's various xERAs over the past few seasons suggest to me he's more of a 3.30 - 3.80 ERA guy.

I specifically stated in the Twitter post:

Rankings by projected earnings, not necessarily a draft list.
by Todd Zola
October 31st, 2020, 10:50 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Todd Zola Pitching Projections
Replies: 10
Views: 1808

Re: Todd Zola Pitching Projections

Welcome! FWIW, moving Gallen and Woodruff emanated from reviewing projections - not really a decision. Re: Bauer... Lots going on here. First, he's a free agent so his projection is park and team neutral. He could move up or down, depending here signs. That said, for perspective, if he stays with th...
by Todd Zola
October 8th, 2020, 1:18 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Strat question
Replies: 1
Views: 4099

Re: Strat question

Sorry Jeff, I'll be honest, I don't know stuff of that nature. I can ask Dean (so could you, for that matter) and he'd have a much better idea.

To be honest, I'm not sure how Strat will handle the abbreviated season.
by Todd Zola
October 6th, 2020, 6:40 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade thoughts
Replies: 5
Views: 5518

Re: Trade thoughts

I'll open with I'm not worried about Robert. You notice the slump because it ended the season. In a full year, he would have rebounded, then slumped again, etc. The main issue seems to be coverage up the middle. Dealing Albies and potentially dropping Cronenworth moves Lux up, but it's not a sure th...
by Todd Zola
October 6th, 2020, 1:05 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Trade thoughts
Replies: 5
Views: 5518

Re: Trade thoughts

What are the six hitting categories?

Do you consider yourself a contender in 2021?

My response depends on the above.
by Todd Zola
September 23rd, 2020, 3:07 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Pitching Ratio Help
Replies: 1
Views: 4987

Re: Pitching Ratio Help

In no particular order (with 4 days left, ranking is useless) Jake Diekman Jordan Weems Nick Anderson Chasen Shreve Yimi Garcia Pierce Johnson Darwinzon Hernandez Chad Green Kyle McGowin Richard Rodriguez Pete Fairbanks Luis Garcia Josh Staumont Mike Mayers James Hoyt Jason Adam Darren O'Day Amir Ga...
by Todd Zola
September 7th, 2020, 12:01 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Pitching Question
Replies: 1
Views: 4966

Re: Pitching Question

Working semi-blind, probably Dunning and whichever closer you want.
by Todd Zola
September 7th, 2020, 12:07 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Jose Abreu - This Week
Replies: 1
Views: 4969

Re: Jose Abreu - This Week

Dominic Smith for sure.

Then either Taveras or Cruz.
by Todd Zola
August 31st, 2020, 12:30 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Who to start
Replies: 1
Views: 5131

Re: Who to start

Gibson seems safest (Sea). Normally would be Minor, but the early schedule is iffy. That said, if things are OK, Minor could also draw the Mariners. Either Gibson/Peralta or Gibson/Minor, depending how confident you are Oakland will play. Currently, it looks like Tues may be in jeopardy, simply due ...
by Todd Zola
August 29th, 2020, 1:37 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Strat trade
Replies: 3
Views: 5243

Re: Strat trade

Dealing Smith depends on the specifics of your league -- but as an example in MWStrat I'll always deal a reliever since they're accessible in the draft, or others are looking to deal them (see a certain team with Jensen and Rogers, both acquired via a trade).
by Todd Zola
August 29th, 2020, 10:11 am
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Strat trade
Replies: 3
Views: 5243

Re: Strat trade

Bummed MWSTRAT is bagging playing with the 2020 cards next summer and doing something else :( I would think Grichuk's defense would be much better if that's a thing for you. He's two years older, but signed to a long-term deal for more than platoon money so he's going to play. My lean is Grichuk sin...
by Todd Zola
August 21st, 2020, 4:47 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Do I need another SP?
Replies: 2
Views: 5116

Re: Do I need another SP?

Considering teams are limiting innings when pitchers return from the IL, especially COVID, probably best to find healthy arms, better able to at least be in play for a win. Your team, your call.
by Todd Zola
August 12th, 2020, 3:41 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Activating Kela who to drop? 12 team h2h
Replies: 1
Views: 5060

Re: Activating Kela who to drop? 12 team h2h

In a head to head league his shallow, the best approach is treating the back end of the pitching as fungible and matching up to your next opponent. That is, drop whoever is necessary to add what you need to match up best or drop who leaves you with the best matchups, then worry about next week when ...
by Todd Zola
August 5th, 2020, 1:38 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Need thoughts on Trout-Bellinger blockbuster
Replies: 3
Views: 4972

Re: Need thoughts on Trout-Bellinger blockbuster

We don't have your roster and those of everyone in your league - and this is not a prompt to share them. It's a decision only you can make. We can share opinions on some of the players in a vacuum if you need help in that direction, but the choice is based on how it can help in the standings.
by Todd Zola
August 5th, 2020, 12:35 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Need thoughts on Trout-Bellinger blockbuster
Replies: 3
Views: 4972

Re: Need thoughts on Trout-Bellinger blockbuster

Trades aren't about the names, no matter how glamorous. They aren't about the perceived value. Trades are all about your potential to score points. How many (if any) points might you lose with Bellinger? How many, if any, do you gain with Corbin and Yates? That's the measuring stick.
by Todd Zola
August 4th, 2020, 1:00 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Who to drop
Replies: 4
Views: 4753

Re: Who to drop

Three best options for your format.

in OBP, Smoak probably next.
by Todd Zola
August 4th, 2020, 12:51 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Who to drop
Replies: 4
Views: 4753

Re: Who to drop

First off, wRC+ isn't a particularly good measure for roto. It's park neutral, which may indicate better pure skills, but the numbers players are affected by their park. In addition, it doesn't account for stolen bases. Hernandez, Swanson and Ohtani, if he's essentially the full time DH are the thre...
by Todd Zola
August 2nd, 2020, 8:38 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Covid/Injuries hit my team how do I proceed
Replies: 3
Views: 4523

Re: Covid/Injuries hit my team how do I proceed

To be honest, McKay shouldn't be in a roster in a league this shallow so easy drop.

In a season like this, it's best to drop someone like Kluber. Can't hold and hope you need him.

Pretty good chance Cardinals and Tigers miss games this week so make sure you're covered there.
by Todd Zola
August 2nd, 2020, 4:17 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Covid/Injuries hit my team how do I proceed
Replies: 3
Views: 4523

Re: Covid/Injuries hit my team how do I proceed

In H2H, I think you have no choice but to take the L and hope to make it up when he doubleheaders start to kick in. The Phillies have 7 games next week while Miami has six so you should be back at full strength.
by Todd Zola
July 24th, 2020, 8:46 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: Rate My Team
Replies: 2
Views: 521

Re: Rate My Team

could be light on power, but who knows
by Todd Zola
July 23rd, 2020, 8:01 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Weekly Rankings
Replies: 1
Views: 11707

Re: Weekly Rankings

Rotowire graciously allows me to post the weekly pitcher and team hitting rankings I do for them. The weekly rankings go up Sunday night. This week, with some leagues using a short period and an extended period, I'll be posting them later this evening. I'm in process of updating them from this morni...
by Todd Zola
July 22nd, 2020, 11:08 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Trout News
Replies: 1
Views: 11137

Re: Trout News

Tweeted this earlier...

Angels home through Aug 2. Off day on the 3rd. Then travel to SEA and TEX. If the baby is late, Trout could opt to wait until the club is home, or things time well and he could just miss 2 or 3 games with that off day.
by Todd Zola
July 22nd, 2020, 4:14 pm
Forum: Team Management Advice
Topic: 5x5(AVG) 12 team H2H how was my draft?
Replies: 2
Views: 4475

Re: 5x5(AVG) 12 team H2H how was my draft?

Looks way too SB heavy for H2H. Personally prefer to crush HR/R/RBI and play SB by ear, according to my opponent.
by Todd Zola
July 21st, 2020, 1:12 pm
Forum: Prospects & Minor League Discussion
Topic: 2020 Draft Prospects
Replies: 3
Views: 8844

Re: 2020 Draft Prospects

infiniteloop wrote: July 21st, 2020, 12:59 pm Are the 2020 prospect lists up?
Yes, they were posted in March.
by Todd Zola
July 21st, 2020, 12:07 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Another Update?
Replies: 1
Views: 10006

Re: Another Update?

Shooting for midday Thursday.
by Todd Zola
July 17th, 2020, 8:05 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Latest Update... any major changes?
Replies: 3
Views: 11445

Re: Latest Update... any major changes?

I'll be posting an update by noon ET Saturday. There will be a PA (hitting) and IP (pitching) tab with the number of PA/IP from the last three updates. Red means fewer, green means more.

I downgraded Hyun-Jin Ryu and upgraded Vlad Guerrero Jr. a tad.
by Todd Zola
July 17th, 2020, 6:36 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Latest Update... any major changes?
Replies: 3
Views: 11445

Re: Latest Update... any major changes?

If it was in the news, it was in the update.
by Todd Zola
July 17th, 2020, 12:23 am
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Beat Todd Zola Rotowire Online Championship
Replies: 0
Views: 86227

Beat Todd Zola Rotowire Online Championship

Drafting from the 4-hole... 12-team Mixed C Realmuto Vazquez CI Encarnacion Urshela DMurphy MI CHernandez Semien JPolanco OF Harper SMarte Ozuna Blackmon Laureano UT Dickerson SP Cole Morton Minor Stripling Yarbrough Bassitt Eovaldi CL HRobles NAnderson RES Britton Cease Kendrick Franchy KSeager YCh...
by Todd Zola
July 13th, 2020, 10:57 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Overall Roto Targets
Replies: 3
Views: 11625

Re: Overall Roto Targets

I've been talking and writing about it for years. Jeff and I have had the discussion several times. In brief... You're using projections/expectations you favor, you better hit the targets You draft between 65 and 90% of the final stats. That leaves a lot of wiggle room in-season to manage the catego...
by Todd Zola
July 13th, 2020, 10:40 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Overall Roto Targets
Replies: 3
Views: 11625

Re: Overall Roto Targets

Given I vehemently disagree with target drafting, 60 games is enough to proportionately reduce the full season targets.
by Todd Zola
July 12th, 2020, 3:56 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Stat Changes During Interim Between Todd's Updates
Replies: 6
Views: 12443

Re: Stat Changes During Interim Between Todd's Updates

I was already aggressive with Cesar Hernandez, but with the news he's likely leading off, he gets a bit of a bump.
by Todd Zola
July 11th, 2020, 8:55 pm
Forum: Mastersball.com Excel Tools
Topic: Innings pitched category
Replies: 2
Views: 2631

Re: Innings pitched category

Copy the IP column and paste it over wins.
by Todd Zola
July 11th, 2020, 8:50 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Downgrade
Replies: 3
Views: 11879

Re: Downgrade

Yes, obviously because he missed a week of camp.
by Todd Zola
July 11th, 2020, 8:34 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Downgrade
Replies: 3
Views: 11879

Re: Downgrade

Check out the latest Z Files - the schedule does not favor Arizona Diamondbacks.
by Todd Zola
July 11th, 2020, 5:16 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Aroldis Chapman Virus
Replies: 1
Views: 11304

Re: Aroldis Chapman Virus

Fewer innings and fewer saves. I'm avoiding him until we know more.
by Todd Zola
July 10th, 2020, 9:50 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Frequency of Player Projection Updates
Replies: 4
Views: 11831

Re: Frequency of Player Projection Updates

With all the pertinent news and schedule release, I updated Wednesday this week. There's been enough news since to post one Saturday morning/early afternoon.
by Todd Zola
July 9th, 2020, 3:41 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Quick Question
Replies: 6
Views: 12094

Re: Quick Question

In most scenarios, I agree. With Trout, it honestly doesn't matter. It's a unique situation and by focusing on the granularity of the number of games, that suggests you're missing the big picture. That's what I'm trying to point out.
by Todd Zola
July 9th, 2020, 1:54 pm
Forum: Strategy & Theory Discussion
Topic: Quick Question
Replies: 6
Views: 12094

Re: Quick Question

Paternity leave is minimum 1 game, maximum 3 games, correct? So the 50 games is assuming minimum 1 game for paternity plus another 9 games off out of 49 (18%)? Is that right? I'll be honest, simply asking this question suggests you're too focused on a completely arbitrary projection. No one takes o...