Mastersball Fantasy Forum

Bodhizefa

I've been out of the community for a while. I just wandered back over and managed to remember my password from nearly 10 years ago, and boy is it nostalgic to be back. I am grateful that sites like this are still around, and I hope everyone in the forums here are hanging in there despite the pandemi...

Bodhizefa

I'm a sucker for contact rate and this kid's been 85-90 percent. If he maintains that, I agree with Perry, he'll run into 20 bombs. And if he can add just a little loft w/o damaging the contact, we could be talking more. I'm not looking for that this season, but I can see it down the line. I sort o...

Bodhizefa

I like Arenado a LOT Fortunate to have seen him for three years now at various leagues in AZ plus spring training and he can HIT The only ways he doesn't man third base for the rest of the year for the Rockies would be injury or failure and I don't see him failing - he worked past all his issues an...

Bodhizefa

Trav The Ump wrote:I was very disappointed to see no Austin Kearns reference in this post...

Pretty sure his bobblehead was "accidentally" lost in my last move. We've all gotta move on from some things once we get married, right?

Bodhizefa

Just dusted this puppy off... http://img.auctiva.com/imgdata/7/5/2/7/7/8/webimg/629759659_tp.jpg It's been a while since I've gotten to enjoy a flourish from Hafner. I'm sure he'll get injured soon, but he's on my fantasy team for the first time in forever, and I'm digging it. Justin Upton may be my...

Bodhizefa

It's not that he's not healthy, guys. He's old, and he can't get the same torque from his arm that he used to. It's not a secret, and this happens to most every pitcher that lives to see their mid-to-late 30's in the big leagues. He may have a bit of room to grow (maybe he can consistently put up 88...

Bodhizefa

Stats question: is Mike Trout's 2012 season considered an outlier by statisticians? If so, is that only because he was so much better than everyone else? Do statisticians generally have difficulty identifying outliers early on vs recognizing an outstanding performance that is readily repeatable? I c...

Bodhizefa

I think it's time for Fuld to hand over that cape :) Seriously, though, anyone else hoping Jennings can provide 15+ steals for the rest of the season? I know I could sure use it. I've been waiting on him for what feels like forever, and even though keeping him down allowed me to see him on the Durha...

Bodhizefa

Here's a post to talk about trade rumors in real baseball (and maybe even to chat about trade deadline deals in your own leagues if the board mods will allow!) I'll start off with the rumors of St. Louis being all over Heath Bell. Can anyone explain to me why everyone seems to think the Cardinals ne...

Bodhizefa

Trav The Ump wrote:
Bodhizefa wrote:
Todd Zola wrote:I haven't been this excited about a prospect in an awful long time.
Austin Kearns?

Actually, I was thinking Felix. But Kearns was pretty high on my list for sure. As Billy Bob Thornton says in Bad Santa, "Well they can't all be winners!"

Bodhizefa

Now that he's up, I hope he gets whatever playing time is necessary to burn a year of fantasy ownership for the bastards that have him on their farm roster, especially those that have him because I traded him away :lol: LoL... but no, you're not bitter ;) We'll see how bitter I am in October. I tra...

Bodhizefa

Now that he's up, I hope he gets whatever playing time is necessary to burn a year of fantasy ownership for the bastards that have him on their farm roster, especially those that have him because I traded him away :lol: LoL... but no, you're not bitter ;) I have him in various leagues, and I'm supe...

Bodhizefa

I'm not sure if it's just to fill in for the next three days while Bourjos heals from a hammy strain. If Bourjos' injury isn't that severe, I could see him being demoted after the break.

Bodhizefa

Unreal. He is a frakkin' cyborg.

Bodhizefa

I'd be willing to bet that Ichiro's percentage of soft hit grounders and line drives is much higher than previous seasons, so what is happening is not solely some bad luck on balls in play. You are correct, sir. He's not hitting balls nearly as hard as in the past, so even though his contact rates ...

Bodhizefa

And it is official, Crow named closer. Good things he is sitting on my bench in a few leagues :( Daily transactions, Todd! It's the only way to fly ;) As a sidenote, Mike Fast did an excellent article on Soria in April talking about how Soria never re-learned the usage of his knockout curve after h...

Bodhizefa

I think it's safe to say that, whatever the issue is, it's definitely become a problem. Soria is a shell of his former self, and the Royals would be wise to DL him and figure out what's wrong and if they can even fix it.

Bodhizefa

He and Soria seem to be suffering from the same diseases....i.e. missing less bats, reduced or slightly reduced velocity, lower K/9, higher BB/9 = higher ERA and WHIP. Soria hasn't been right for years, although it's taken this long to manifest in his overall numbers according to Mike Fast from BP ...

Bodhizefa

Watching Feliz this year makes me sad. What the heck is wrong with him?!

Bodhizefa

Burnt toast at that.

Bodhizefa

Good thoughts, Todd. But then we have this report today from Rotoworld/ESPN Dallas: Rangers manager Ron Washington said Neftali Feliz was not available Saturday. Feliz did throw an inning on Friday night, but hadn't pitched since Tuesday before that. Washington said he's trying to bring Feliz back f...

Bodhizefa

Neftali has a 4.76 K/9 and a 6.35 BB/9 so far this season, and it's only gotten worse since he came back from the DL. He's also displaying his lowest velocity since he came up to the big leagues. I'm not pushing the panic button just yet, but there's some cause for alarm here. He's got some tell-tal...

Bodhizefa

League had his third crappy outing in a row, and his season line is officially eye-numbing. The tough part of this equation is that the Mariners don't have a single person who could step in and feasibly be a solid 9th inning option. Lueke struggled mightily in his short stint with the M's this year,...

Bodhizefa

What popped to me in the RofY projections was the 166K in 163IP. If I thought that was likely, I'd probably have more interest in him. As would we all, I'm sure. ZIPS projects a fairly drastic improvement for Vazquez as well. The problem we all run into when we look at him on the wire is that we're...

Bodhizefa

At what point do we let Jeter go? I could drop him for Maicer Izturis. At this point, Izturis is looking pretty good. Yesterday? :) I've been one of the first in line in previous years to declare a bevy of veterans as "done" only to see them come back and make me look and feel foolish. I ...

Bodhizefa

At what point do we let Jeter go? I could drop him for Maicer Izturis. At this point, Izturis is looking pretty good.

Bodhizefa

Ryan Dempster: I'm holding (in 14-teamers or larger) because the K-rates remain high. Still, yesterday was ugggggly. As an aside, until yesterday, I thought Dempster's big problem was that the Cubs' new manager had failed to take him out when he was obviously tired. That theory doesn't hold up when ...

Bodhizefa

Agree 100% with Todd......BUT please remember that he plays with a terrible defense and very poor offense, so the W are just not going to be as easy to get - unless he gets locked into a groove like he was last year I actually think the Diamondbacks' defense is pretty good. I profiled them going in...

Bodhizefa

Probably Boggs. But Gregg has burned me many times in the past with his ability to hang on for dear life to the closer role for whatever team he's on. That's one heck of a repeatable skill that guy's got.

Bodhizefa

the STL closer was discussed earlier this year in a 2012 closer discussion. Yes Bod I had my eye on Sanchez even then . I was happy to see him have such a nice start. I dont think he gets many saves this year and will more than likely be up and down but he is one to watch. http://forum.mastersball....

Bodhizefa

New candidate: Eduardo Sanchez. He had one helluva debut last yesterday.

Bodhizefa

Soria's velocity is down by about 2.5 mph and he's not striking anyone out. Anybody out there concerned?

Bodhizefa

deansdaddy wrote:Man - You draft Holliday over guys like Hamilton, Cruz etc. because of his spotless Health record and then get a kick in the cojones.

No kidding. What an awful bit of news.

Bodhizefa

Wow. As if the Cards needed something else going wrong for them.

Bodhizefa

Kershaw for Cy Young!

Bodhizefa

I of course invested in Madson in some early drafts. I have to decide to go after Contreras or just sit with Madson. If Lidge is out that long I think Madson still gets some Opps. I'm sure Madson will get a few opportunities, but you have to figure Contreras will get an awful lot of them himself as...

Bodhizefa

Sounds like it may be even longer than that. From what I understand, he's being shut down for 3-6 weeks. It's going to take him another few weeks to even get up to speed to play after the "shut down". Contreras could be closing for months. As an aside, this has been a fairly disastrous Spr...

Bodhizefa

I wonder if Papelbon wasn't a name that was discussed. I'm sure it was bandied about. The Papelbon situation is a strange one. The Red Sox obviously don't love the guy, but they know they're probably better off with him in the pen than without right now. Having a good 7th-9th situation with Bard, J...

Bodhizefa

I totally didn't expect this. Two months ago, sure. I thought they were giving lip service to Feliz as a starter but wanted him in the bullpen for 2011 because he's their best guy there. But it's a week before the season starts, so I figured they'd at least give him the ease of mind of knowing a lot...

Bodhizefa

Not too much of a surprise given his injury history and his overall durability issues over the years. I hope he's okay, though. His last four or five starts last season were really something else, and I was hoping to see him continue that this year (from a pitching fan's standpoint... not from an M'...

Bodhizefa

I bet Peavy's mom would be pleased! Seriously, though, it's not too huge a deal. Peavy's got obvious upside, so you just go with SteveB's advice and find an alternate to take his place on the roster till he comes back. If he isn't pitching well after a month+, just find someone else. You'll probably...

Bodhizefa

Jack Wilson will probably see 5 games at second base this year. Dan Johnson has a chance at 5 games at third base at some point if he doesn't strike himself out off the Rays' roster. Michael Young could be 2B and/or 1B eligible soon. Sean Rodriguez is going to get some starts at SS this year. Placid...

Bodhizefa

I don't buy the mental stuff for League I buy it bigtime. I've seen him melt down too many times in the past to feel comfy at all with him as a closer. Maybe he ends up as a Lyon-like closer for a year, but his team controlled years end in 2012 for Seattle. And they won't pay him to close after tha...

Bodhizefa

Bod, I cannot thank you enough for your pitching tiers. While the stats are all there for anyone to plumb, not everyone has the time or inclination to put something like this together. I used the list extensively in both my drafts this weekend and think I came out with stellar pitching at very reas...

Bodhizefa

deansdaddy wrote:Thanks Bod - make sure to add your voice to the other position threads.

Done!

Your move, sir

Bodhizefa

I'll bite. 1) Carl Crawford - Elite awesomeness. 2) Ryan Braun - Total badass. 3) Carlos Gonzalez - There's risk here given his skillset (low walk). Coors always helps those in need, though. Bid at your own risk threshold. -------------------- 4) Matt Holliday - One more year of Pujols means one mor...

Bodhizefa

I hate catchers. Yuck! 1) Buster Posey - I love him. I'm buying. Big-time. 2) Joe Mauer - That power sure came back to earth, didn't it. 3) Victor Martinez - Detroit's park and line-up simply isn't as nice as Boston's. But he's still darned good. 4) Carlos Santana - I actually like him as much as Po...

Bodhizefa

1) Albert Pujols - I wonder just how the onslaught of contract (and potential trade) questions will get to him. I hope it motivates him to be even better, but you just never know since he's never really faced media pressure like he's about to undergo. Also, he gets his own tier because he is the bes...

Bodhizefa

1) Hanley Ramirez - It'd be interesting to see what he could do if he actually cared a bit more to hone his massive talent. But as is, he's still plenty plenty good. 2) Troy Tulowitzski - I don't think he's eclipsed Hanley just yet. He's still a bit of an injury risk. ------------------ 3) Jose Reye...

Bodhizefa

I'd put the over/under on innings at 80 at this point. And I'd take the over, but not by much. I love him as a pseudo MR (meaning I'd look to him for MR-type innings -- 80-100) with a better chance at Wins than Saves (unlike most MR's). If you are in daily leagues and can DL him and replace him with...

Bodhizefa

Jeez, Utley's injury really rattled me. We can't count on him any longer to be one of the best year-round keystones any longer due to his injury history. I just hope he doesn't have a drastic fall-off when he is actually healthy like so many good second basemen before him. I digress... 1) Robinson C...

Bodhizefa

McGehee looks like a great value pick to me after seeing all these rankings listed out. I'd have him in my Top 8 pretty easily. 1) Evan Longoria - Stud. 2) David Wright - Still good, although the excess K's have me worried on the batting average front. 3) Alex Rodriguez - I believe there's upside he...

Bodhizefa

Gregerson Motte Madson League (I like him for THIS year too) Chapman I like Mike Adams just as much as Gregerson in San Diego. I could see them doing a timeshare there if they really wanted. I also think Adams gets first shot. As for League, I have never seen him look anything other than mediocre i...

Bodhizefa

I don't know. Maybe how that while Twitter is really cool and everything, it has effed up those of us trying to get a community going. It's sad in some ways. There's more information than ever before coming our way via Twitter and the web, but in getting all this information from strangers, I feel ...

Bodhizefa

There was a great thread on the old RJ boards about whether "sleepers" even existed anymore (or heck, maybe it was on the old Mastersball boards... I'm getting confused these days, lol). It's on every board.... Which brings me to the question of what in the heck we're supposed to talk abo...

Bodhizefa

People are calling me crazy for my 2-part piece on the changing landscape of pitching in fantasy drafts. It is analysis like this and Paul Sporer's that fueled my reasoning. There is a difference between getting cheap pitching and getting pitching cheap. Previously, it was possible to get good pitc...

Bodhizefa

Team Defensive Grades: http://www.draftbuddy.com/blog/2011/03/07/mlb-team-defense-grades-for-fantasy-baseball-pitcher-analysis/ Tiers Part 1: http://www.draftbuddy.com/blog/2011/03/11/tiers-of-starting-pitching-elite-superstars-and-studs/ Tiers Part 2: http://www.draftbuddy.com/blog/2011/03/11/tier...

Bodhizefa

I'm starting a new thread with all the links to each section of the Tiers. If the mods want to combine the posts and stick the one with the links at the top, have at it (or not -- whatever is totally fine). I'm just happy to have this thing ready this year after not believing I would have time to do...

Bodhizefa

Mike, I did the article for the proprietors of DraftBuddy as an author for their site. I can't post the article over here, but we'll link to it and I can answer questions here as well as on the Draft Buddy site.

Bodhizefa

The Tiers should be posted sometime later this afternoon on http://www.draftbuddy.com. Hope you guys enjoy.

Bodhizefa

Andy wrote:Which site? (PM me if you like)

http://www.draftbuddy.com/blog/2011/03/ ... -analysis/

There's my pre-cursor post to the Tiers. It's basically a breakdown of all the defenses in baseball and how they might affect their respective pitching staffs.

Bodhizefa

We're kinda laid back here, comes with the territory, we can even point people to Paul's work: Paul Sporer's Starting Pitching Analysis while we wait for Bod's. Paul's guide was excellent this year. If anyone is looking for a guy who knows his stuff through and through, Sporer is the guy to go to f...

Bodhizefa

Originally I wasn't going to do them, but I got inspired about a week ago (yay Spring Break!) and an owner of a different fantasy website convinced me to post them on his site. When they go up (which should be later this week), I'll shoot you guys a link if you'd like to take a look.

Bodhizefa

My mancrush is dying fast! I wonder if his bobblehead resembles the drunk Kearns moreso than the sober Kearns. Or perhaps it's a tie between drunk Kearns and strikeout swinging Kearns.

Bodhizefa

The spot has been filled. Thanks for the interest!

Bodhizefa

My dreams of him hitting 30 homers were shot when he was dealt out of Toronto, but he's still a quality catcher for anyone not expecting the world from him. Shot? Or just at the 90% percentile of probability? Edited: Let me put it like this. I believe Napoli's 70th-80th percentile in Toronto was to...

Bodhizefa

"Status quo" is the key. Kinsler gets hurt, Young plays 2B and Napoli DH. Same with Beltre. If Moreland hits and say Cruz gets hurt, he may side to the OF, though there are some other candidates (Murphy). Plus, either Torrealba or Treanor can catch a foul tip off the finger, etc. We can &...

Bodhizefa

The news doesn't seem to be getting any better for him. Texas has re-opened negotiations with him to see if they can sign him to a one year deal for reasonable money. Nolan Ryan is quoted as saying "You'd love to have that bat, another right-handed bat on the bench or him DHing when Michael Yo...

Bodhizefa

I am the commissioner of a 20-team Head-to-Head dynasty league that's been around since 2003, and we're currently looking for a replacement owner. We operate on Yahoo, so there's no charge. It's a very active league with owners who are knowledgeable and generally very willing to wheel and deal (many...

Bodhizefa

Thanks for filling in most of the blanks, Todd. Yes, it's Yahoo. Yes, it's a crappy service (although it's gotten better in recent years). And yes, Mike Minor is on waivers through tonight, and I have to decide if he's worth burning the #1 waiver on or letting him slip to the other owners with waive...

Bodhizefa

I have the unfortunate position of #1 waiver in a dynasty league at the moment -- unfortunate only because I have no idea what to do with it at the moment. The waiver will not carry over to next season, so I need to use it this year. With Mike Minor's impending promotion, I could certainly use the w...

Bodhizefa

Great arm, but who knows if he'll rein in the control.

I like a guy like Ernesto Frieri a little better if you're just looking for badass rates.

Bodhizefa

First off I think Lidge has and will continue to have a very long leash Short term, any mix of Romero, Contreras, and Madson will be out there to setup or relieve Lidge Longer view is that Madson, assuming he gets back in to form will be the setup or closer in waiting. I can't believe the long view...

Bodhizefa

On paper, this looks like a steal for the Angels .... but I can't help feeling we're about to see Scott Kazmir II . I know 2nd half stats are not the most reliable numbers ever produced ... but for a guy who has logged over 1200 innings over the last 6 years, look at Haren's. His three year average...

Bodhizefa

....well there is a BIG difference - KK has a big hole in his swing and is unless he proves something next time up, just a AAAA hitter Isn't that what they said about Branyan for the past 10 years? Not that I'm necessarily disagreeing. Gordon has already had more plate appearances in his first thre...

Bodhizefa

So this is what it felt like for everybody else when the Mariners got Cliff Lee, huh?

Can't say I like being on this side of things

Bodhizefa

Bill Simmons: Anaheim: "We want Danny Haren. Any interest in a pu pu platter deal that's an Eff You to your fans?" Arizona: "Sure! Done!" Joe Sheehan: Kinda wonder how Justin Upton, locked in Phoenix below market through '15 in a deal he signed five months ago, feels about this. ...

Bodhizefa

rotonut wrote:Is this Fister kid for real?

Probably not. I'd certainly be selling high if I owned him.

Bodhizefa

da_big_kid_94 wrote: And Bod? Thank you for demonstrating self restraint. It must have killed you not to end the post title with ".... a mouse!"

I have a feeling Meek's name is going to be a bigger source of enjoyment than the Pirates' closing situation for the next few months.

Bodhizefa

This is healthy Chad Qualls territory. That's exactly what I was thinking when I was perusing his stats! (Although being a Qualls owner at the moment... I have to be cautious with those thoughts, too, lol.) Meek has had control problems in the past, though. And his high velocity this year seems to ...

Bodhizefa

I'm tired of seeing threads on every board imaginable saying "The Meek shall inherit the closer role", but I'm not tired of talking about the guy since he looks pretty good thus far.

Anyone in Pittsburgh have any insight?

Bodhizefa

Joyce = most value this year Brignac = most short term value (until Joyce off DL) Sean Rodriguez = most long term value IMO I may be in the minority on this one, but I believe there's a chance Brignac ends up having more longterm value. I think of him as a guy who probably ends up hitting 14-18 hom...

Bodhizefa

GaryJ wrote: Makes me want to tear my hair out.

At least you have hair left to pull! I've moved onto my cat, and she's not very happy about it.

Bodhizefa

I will give Baseball Prospectus credit. From the moment he 1st broke out they warned that when he fell, it would be quick and ugly. Players with his body type (Mo Vaughn anyone?) do not age well. A big dude with a bad knee is never a good thing. Unfortunately it looks like they nailed this one on t...

Bodhizefa

1. Hanley Ramirez - I'm worried about a speed decline, but his other numbers are so solid that he's still obviously the best shortstop. -------------------- 2. Jimmy Rollins - I think Rollins could be a pretty solid value buy this year compared to Tulo or Jeter. 3. Troy Tulowitzki - Am I the only on...

Bodhizefa

USSMariner is speculating that there will likely be a DL stint involved.

Bodhizefa

I got to the part where they introduced Jed, and then I simply couldn't take it any longer. I know they picked him because it obviously makes for high unintentional comedy for the film's sake. But to me, the guy is just uncomfortable to watch, hear, or even think about. It's almost that same level o...

Bodhizefa

1. Alex Rodriguez - Top 5 pick, hands down. Probably top 3. ----------------------- 2. Evan Longoria - Stud. Not sure I like his commercial for MLB 2K10, though. 3. David Wright - I have high hopes for a power rebound in the low 20's. ----------------------- 4. Kevin Youkilis - I find him a bit more...

Bodhizefa

Per the Seattle Times. The M's believe he injured it in his collision with Chris Snyder -- the same Chris Snyder Lee threw at and got a suspension handed down because of. Awesome. Lee has a history of issues with this injury -- both prior incidents costing him at least a month's worth of starts. The...

Bodhizefa

Todd Zola wrote:You'll get one when I am good and ready....

When did you become Captain Hadley from Shawshank Redemption?!

Bodhizefa

Any chance we'll see a new position to rank soon? I've been jonesing for days here!

Bodhizefa

Hey guys. I'm in need of a little advice if at all possible. I'm in a fairly deep dynasty league where I own Aardsma and have been offered Nyjer Morgan for him. I just joined the league and inherited a pretty awful team, and I've spent the last few weeks tidying it up to the point where it's possibl...

Bodhizefa

I edited Brian Roberts in my rankings. He's dropping more and more each day with that back injury

Bodhizefa

With his performance in the playoffs, it makes me wonder if this injury dates back to then and was the cause of that performance. Latest is that he's going to meet with James Andrews, which is never a good sign. Honestly, I was worried about him before this whole Spring Training ordeal began. Seein...

Bodhizefa

1. Chase Utley - Not really rocket science here. ------------------ 2. Ian Kinsler - Call me optimistic on the at bats. 3. Dustin Pedroia - I'm expecting him to be a tick better than last year. I actually think people underrate him a little now, which is weird, considering he's in Boston. 4. Brandon...

Bodhizefa

Per Rotoworld.

Guerrier and Rauch should be bumped up your lists for this year.

Bodhizefa

I don't think he could go much further down on mine

(thank God that my acute case of Gordonitis has been cured!!!)

Bodhizefa

1. Albert Pujols - The one and only. ------------------ 2. Mark Teixeira - I would take Teix and New Yankee stadium before anyone else in this tier/pocket. 3. Prince Fielder - Miller Park plays best for lefty power hitters, and that's why I rank him above Miguel Cabrera (who plays in a fairly crappy...

Bodhizefa

1. J.Mauer
2. V.Martinez
3. B.McCann
4. M.Wieters
5. J.Posada
6. M.Montero
7. K.Suzuki
8. M.Napoli
9. G.Soto
10. R.Martin

Bodhizefa

Todd Zola wrote: we are working on getting some of the free archives posted again, including Winning Tendencies.

One of my favorite Mastersball articles ever written.

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