Search found 2 matches

by Aquila
February 13th, 2018, 4:47 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Question on valuation using MLE to fill in data
Replies: 3
Views: 2209

Re: Question on valuation using MLE to fill in data

Well, Here's the deal. I have been running my own numbers for over 10 years....Based on a conversation you and I had on the HQ forum way back then. You sent me a copy of a first generation manuscript which showed hit points and pit points. I have massaged the information over the years, basically he...
by Aquila
February 9th, 2018, 1:55 pm
Forum: Player News and Analysis
Topic: Question on valuation using MLE to fill in data
Replies: 3
Views: 2209

Question on valuation using MLE to fill in data

I struggle with MLE. The 3 yr weighted average is fine for players who are veterans but when applying MLE it seems that younger guys get a major penalty. Take Jimmy Sherfy as an example. His projection calls for virtually full season's innings in the ARI pen. They also say 5.68/1.46 ratios. It feels...