Mastersball Fantasy Forum

captgus

Yeah, I've been messing around, looking at the Lucroy update among others and it seems fine. I just wasn't sure if it would impact updated data. As always, thanks for the prompt response.

captgus

Good evening Todd, I just started to get the attached link error following the download of the most recent update. I've since deleted the file and tried again with similar problems. In fact now when I open older copies, I get the same error. Any idea?
Thanks!

captgus

Thanks Todd, it's great food for thought and your comments on the fluctuation of inflation really hits home thinking back to prior auctions!

captgus

No hurry, please take your time.

captgus

The question can't be answered in a vacuum - it's completely dependent upon your keepers and what's available to be purchased - along with your agenda and the league's penchant for dump trading. Thanks Todd, I guess I always looked at compiling keepers with the goal of having as much money availabl...

captgus

I was wondering what the thoughts out there are on keeper strategy, as it relates to perceived value and money left for the auction? Would you be better served going into an auction with no keepers having the full amount of money to spend during the auction, or enter an auction with a list of high p...

captgus

Thanks Todd and no need to apologize.

captgus

Fair enough, I'll take that as you're still fairly confident he's only going to miss a few weeks at best in April.

captgus

At what point do we start to scale back Kemp's expected at bats for 2014? I noticed the latest projections have him still at 500+ at bats.

captgus

I like the flexibility I'm afforded by having a greater amount of money going into my auction but I suspect that the reality of the situation is that it's at best, a fleeting moment. At least in my long standing league, it's almost a given that the first handful of names tossed out are going to RD1 ...

captgus

Well I suppose no one knows. It does bring up something that I'm sure has been discussed elsewhere but one that drives me nuts every year and that is what level of risk is justified when compiling a group of keepers? At what % of your total salary does it becomes a fool's errand to potentially absor...

captgus

Is anyone else getting a little skittish about keeping Braun with today's news that his name has been linked to another Biogenesis document?

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/blog/eye-o ... l-document

captgus

shif6 wrote:I know the online version of the magazine in which Leibowitz, Zola, (I believe Michaels) and many others participate is available. Could someone tell me when the print version will be available?
Thanks
Steve

Where can we save a tree and view the online version?

captgus

Thank you!

captgus

I feel sort of silly asking this after all these years but here goes, Todd would you mind explaining to me what drives these numbers? I suppose your response may answer my next question but in what scenario would someone want to deviate from the default values?

captgus

I noticed a tweet where he mentions early part of this week, Tue/Wed.

captgus

1. Albert Pujols - if it were anyone else, he's probably be bumped down a spot owing to a new park, new league and a 3 yr trend of declining BB% and FB% 2. Joey Votto - I'll probably get looks from people for bypassing Prince and Miggy but I'm all in. He continues to show more patience at the play, ...

captgus

Shhhhhhhhhh let's not talk of Vinnie Pestano please.

captgus

Taken with a grain of salt, I found the comments more informative than the article but both were great reads, thanks for the link.

captgus

I don't know, how do you pass up on the average and counting stats that Braun provides? Especially with the depth at second base this year.

captgus

Milnertime wrote:I'm a Cubs fan who thinks Braun is about the biggest douche on the planet, but this ruling does not surprise me or upset me.

I know, could you imagine if his bat broke during an at bat and out popped a bunch of cork?

captgus

Tampa Bob wrote:Mike, I tried this a couple of years ago and found that Yahoo would not allow me to run multiple teams off of a single computer. Rotowire might and it's pretty reasonably priced.

It would take some work and be very tedious but it could be accomplished by deleting cookies.

captgus

In NFBC drafts, he's definitely not an end-gamer. If you can get him as a late flyer, you're beating Charlie Sheen. Fair enough however I'm not an NFBC participant but rather a run of the mill, 12 team 5x5 keeper league. I suppose I should keep in mind that many on this forum are (NFBC participants...

captgus

Geeez, I'm gonna come off as a Nolan Reimold 'fanboy' here but he actually had 9 HRs in the months of May(5) and June(4) of 2009, still a small sample size but not to be discounted. I think I'd put more credence into the poor LD% that Todd pointed out over the CT%, as there are plenty of players tha...

captgus

Well his current projections have him at 425 ABs and it's not as if the Orioles will contend. At some point they either need to see what he can do, or move on. Then again, we're talking the Orioles and yes, I understand there was a reason that Chavez was signed. In any event, I was just trying to un...

captgus

Fair enough and I never meant to imply that the projection was unreasonable, just trying to get an idea the reasoning behind it. Now that you've pointed out the LD%, geeez that puts him in some pretty unfavorable company.

Thanks Todd.

captgus

I'm trying to get a handle on him. It seems like if were given the opportunity to start and say 500 ABs, that you could be looking at a potential 20HR/10SB outfielder. Surely, Endy Chavez isn't the answer and I don't see anything in Reimold's splits (RH/LH) that would indicate he's a platoon type pl...

captgus

Not sure if it really matters who hits cleanup for the AAAthletics Or that you are looking at a PROJECTED lineup (from where btw) showing Smith hitting 4th when I have seen information from the local beat writers in Oakland that the team is actually looking for a platoon partner for Seth. FWIW, MLB...

captgus

214 million a little over 23 million per year. Why do i think in year 6 they will be regretting this deal ? While Detroit will probably regret the contract in year 6 it won't matter if they get to the W.S. a couple of times. This pusts them back into the driver's seat in the AL Central and what lit...

captgus

captgus wrote:Ouch, that one's going to leave a mark. Hello Prince Fielder!?

Hey, what do you know, I'm right for a change, neither my wife nor league mates will believe it.

captgus

Interesting take. I get Maddon and the lineup shuffle but do you really think there is a potential for Zobrist to lose ABs?

captgus

12 team mixed, $265 budget with a twist, we don't have to come away from the auction with 23 players but rather a minimum of 12. Through the years, people have stopped trying to get cute and most fill out their starting rosters but the flexibility is nice. My potential list of 8 keepers, which I'm p...

captgus

Ouch, that one's going to leave a mark. Hello Prince Fielder!?

captgus

Gentlemen, thanks for you help. I tried changing the permissions the files and folders the first go around, with no luck. I'm not sure if it had anything to do with it, but originally I extracted the files into a directory AND then moved them (maintaining the same folder structure) to C:\Program Fil...

captgus

Ok thanks Pasko, sounds like a Windows 7 security issue then and you've given me a great place to start with. I'm off to dinner but I'll fiddle with it tonight and see what I can come up with.

Thank you both for your prompt replies and sorry to bother you.

captgus

Thank you Todd.

captgus

Just a quick question and I apologize in advance if there is a similar thread, I couldn't find one. I'm attempting to save data and receiving an "read only database" error message. I first noticed it trying to change the resolution in options and then again when attempting to create a leag...

captgus

Well on the flip side, Quentin has seen 500 ABs in a season, oh I don't know, never!

captgus

There isn't much that I can add here that already hasn't been said. I do believe that getting out of the NL West and no longer playing in those cavernous ballparks can only benefit Adrian. The one thing I would like to point out though is that playing in sleepy San Diego is vastly different than pla...

captgus

Thank you all for your input and pulling me back from the edge. The longer I play this game the more I'm beginning to realize that there is no one right, or 'hard and fast' answer to anything.

captgus

Does anyone care to give me their opinions and help me make a decision here? I keep waffling back and forth on what to do with Vladimir Guerrero and wanted to get some opinions. 12 team, mixed 5x5 league, 12 man reserve (35 man roster) with a $265 salary cap during the auction. The league is slightl...

captgus

I guess I should have used the PREVIEW function eh? Anyway, Jim Bowden from Fox Sports is reporting that Guerrero may be close to signing a 1 year deal with the Orioles.

http://api.twitter.com/JimBowdenXMFOX/s ... 2690092033

captgus

captgus

Good lord, Damon in left field has to be a scary thought for the Rays pitching staff. I need to go check on Brignac and Longoria's range numbers because I'm sensing a lot of ground balls getting through that hole and subsequent runners on second scoring with relative ease as long as Damon is out the...

captgus

Hank Conger is a good call. I find it hard to believe the Angels go with a catching tandem of Mathis and Wilson. I know Scioscia puts a premium on defense at the catcher position but that would be a gaping hole in that lineup.

captgus

http://www.rotoworld.com/content/playernews.aspx?sport=MLB I guess this is a serious hit to JP's role with the Blue Jays. I would also imagine the Napoli owner's of the world will be happy to see him get out from under Mike Scioscia's thumb. Did the market for Vlad the Impaler just get a little smal...

captgus

SOLD! I'll take it

captgus

Todd, I noticed that the date for the software release seems to have changed from "January 15" to "COMING SOON". Should I take it that we might have this in our grimy hands earlier than the 15th or has it been pushed back a bit?

captgus

Thank you both! Unfortunately, in this case, my lack of offensive depth on the bench is keeping me from doing much and the market for either one of my closers is pretty much non existent.

captgus

I just received an intriguing offer from a guy that is notorious in putting together low ball, cruddy offers and thought I could bounce it around here. To make matters further interesting, he's a METS fan, so offering up Johan further piques my suspicion. 12 team, 5x5 league, standard categories (BA...

captgus

2. At some point, if your ratios are poor, you need to make an honest assessment of the situation and try to determine using best case scenario just how much you can improve. Then you need to consider the possibility of totally ignoring WHIP and ERA and simply focusing on bullying up wins and strik...

captgus

Thanks for the feedback Todd. It's a 12 team league and I suppose the writing is on the wall. While I'm really hesitant to sit someone like Vazquez, I think this week's match up dictates it. I'll cobble my staff together for the next few weeks with duct tape and super glue and then look to make a tr...

captgus

Javier Vazquez Ted Lily Kevin Slowey Tim Hudson Ian Kennedy Luke Hochevar Ryan Madson Andrew Bailey Carlos Marmol Jason Hammel Justin Masterson Kris Medlen Joel Zumaya and I just picked up off of waivers this week Brett Cecil and Marc Rzepczynski. Now granted it's not the greatest staff in the world...

captgus

At what point does it become too late to dig oneself out of huge holes in WHiP and ERA? Granted we're only 1/6 of the way through the season but my concern is that I'm digging myself a hole that is going to be damn near impossible to dig out of without trading away all of my offense for two big arms...

captgus

RotoWire usually does a good job with weekly starts, as does Heater magazine. Of course neither are free.

captgus

Thanks gentleman! Todd, is the current list of moderators for the First Pitch Forum correct, meaning that you won't be making the West Coast dates this year?

captgus

I think I understand the concept here, you're looking for find guys with upside potential that can put your team over the top. The problem however, is that at this point I usually look over the current team assembled and end up doing one of two things: A)look for viable arms since I've pretty much i...

captgus

Saves are basically projected as a team total at around 50% of wins. (If you look at the historical record on this almost every team has saves in 45-55% of their wins). Oakland is at 78 right now, so there are 38 projected saves and we've sprinkled a few amongst others in that pen. Bailey has only ...

captgus

I was wondering if someone could explain the process of projecting saves for any one 'closer'? I would assume that just like anything else, playing time is a large contributing factor but I'm having a hard time wrapping my head around HOW a specific number of saves in attained. It's been a head scra...

captgus

Lawr, excellent point and insofar as it pertains to my situation, Abreu may fit that scenario spot on. I think with the losses that the Angels have had thus far this winter, specifically Figgins, Guerrero and Lackey and with what the Mariners have accomplished, that there may be a consensus that the...

captgus

RotoDog - trading Crawford is definitely worth a shot, you're argument being very valid but a general pattern or tendency in this league is that there isn't much trade value for players, say $25 and up at this point in the season. Mid season and prior to the trade deadline when teams are looking to ...

captgus

Now that's an idea I had kicked around before but not in this situation, thinking that when considering inflation, both Bay$18 and Abreu$20 were below value BUT it would seem to make sense. It stands to reason that I probably wouldn't be able to get either back at those salaries but it would allow m...

captgus

It's a 12 team, mixed league with a budget of $265. The twist is that you are only forced to purchase 12 players at the auction and no more than the starting roster of 23. There is a supplemental draft following the auction and while a few people have attempted to go with an extreme stars and scrubs...

captgus

I wasn't sure where to post this but since I'm going to insert some of my potential keepers as examples, I thought it best to start here. I was wondering and perhaps it's been a topic of discussion before, if it's advisable to take into consideration roster balance when putting together a list of ke...

captgus

I know he's not sexy but for a $1 end game bid, it seems to me that he is going to have a good number of RBI opportunities hitting in the middle of that lineup even hitting ground balls at a 50% clip. Thoughts?

captgus

The top 4 are inter-changeable and depending on where they end at my auction will determine which one I make a push for. McCann - could a couple doubles turn into even more HRs? Doumit - grounders down, line drives up 3 years running Mauer - 500+AB's and .300+ if he could only lift the ball but perh...

captgus

Todd Zola wrote: No, there are no pictures.

Who would have thunk?

captgus

If Todd is wearing an A-Rod mask I'll snap a picture.

captgus

I'll be in LA, in the back taking notes on my laptop. I'll be sure to come up and say hello. For anyone on the fence and within driving distance to any of these, it's well worth the trip.

captgus

viper wrote:two very long posts that have many people shaking their heads and saying "huh!"

It made sense to me.

haha I get it and I haven't even had cup#1 yet this morning. Great points, you can't be a slave to the numbers alone.

Gentleman, thanks for helping me start my day off on the right foot.

captgus

Will the stability of Beltre afford you a better chance to win than Gordon? If yes, I lean towards doing the deal. Do you need the potential upside of Gordon to win? If yes, I lean towards not doing the deal. Two great thoughts to keep in mind when evaluating trades and draft/auction picks, thanks ...

captgus

Off the top of my head, really quick......Micah Owings, Nick Swisher and Jorge Posada.

captgus

Same here, Shields and Wieters but I suppose an argument could be made for Slowey instead of Wieters. I know there is alot of hype around him, most likely well deserved but I have to wonder how depressed his runs and RBIs are going to be in that lineup. And of course where he hits in the lineup will...

captgus

There is a video of Porcello warming up in the bullpen on Sickels blog.....I like movement on his fastball and changeup, count me as a believer.

captgus

I'd hang onto Davis unless you already had more corner infielders than you could keep. Markakis at $36 the following year seems a wee bit high to me but I'm not an AL or NL only guy so perhaps someone else could chime in.

captgus

Without knowing how long you can keep either or your other potential keepers, a few weeks ago I traded a $13 Markakis with 1 year left, for a $10 Davis with two years left, in a 5x5 12 team mixed league. I already had two other outfielders that I was planning on keeping (Kemp $7 & Bay $18) so wh...

captgus

brooklyn49 wrote:Nothing like waking up New Year's morning and finding that there was one more present hiding beneath the tree...and it has a big tag with your name on it.

AMEN! This is the best Christmas present to date.

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